Wednesday 27th of November 2024
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not happening if the american empire declares war...

The four-day, twice-a-decade plenum of the Communist Party of China that took place last week in Beijing, designing an economic road map all the way to 2029, was a stunning affair in more ways than one.

Let’s start with continuity – and stability. There’s no question after the plenum that Xi Dada, or The Big Panda, will stay on the helm until 2029 – the end of the current five-year economic drive.

 

China has achieved escape velocity: it is now unstoppable

BY PEPE ESCOBAR

 

And if Xi is healthy enough, he stays up to 2035: the fateful and uber game-changing target year for China to exhibit a GDP per capita of $30,000, with massive around-the-world reverberations.

Here we see the confluence between the progression of “socialism with Chinese characteristics” and the defining contours if not of a Pax Sinica, at least of the non-Hegemon-centric, multi-nodal world (italics mine).

The proverbial U.S. Think Tankland/Sinophobia axis has been hysterical on China not being able to sustain a 5% a year growth rate for the next few years – the target once again stressed at the plenum.

A Russian analysis by the Center for Geopolitical Forecasts makes a crucial point: “The Chinese themselves have not bothered about the growth rate for a long time, since in 2018 they switched to a strategy of so-called qualitative development, that is, not at the expense of traditional industries, but on the basis of high technologies and the creation of new areas, such as the production of new energy sources and artificial intelligence.”

That’s the rationale behind Made in China 2025 – which is being implemented at breakneck speed: high-tech development leading the way towards a “high-level socialist market economy”, to be consolidated by 2025 and fully constructed by 2035.

The next step will be to attain the status of “modernized socialist power” by 2049, at the 100th anniversary of the People’s Republic of China (PRC).

The plenum proved once more that “socialism with Chinese characteristics” – or, for the recalcitrant, Chinese-modified capitalism – is “people-centric”. The supreme values are national interest and the people’s interests – attested by the fact that

large private corporations remain under the strategic control of the CPC.

It’s idle to try to find in the final communique at the end of the plenum any restrictions on private capital on the path to “universal prosperity”. The key point is that the role of capital should always be subordinated to the concept of “socialism with Chinese characteristics”.

Watch the reform ship steadily sailing 

Everything is explained here in nearly didactic terms, chronicling the birth of the “Decision of the CPC Central Committee on further comprehensive deepening of reforms to promote Chinese modernization”.

What is now already referred to colloquially all across China as “The Decision” spreads across 15 parts and 60 articles, divided into three main sections, proposing more than 300 important reforms.

“The Decision”, in full, has not yet been published; only the road map of how Beijing planners got there. Of course this is no mere policy paper: it’s a quintessentially CPC-style dissertation where the details of economic and political measures are obscured by clouds of images and metaphors.

Take a look, for instance, at this passage:

“To ensure that the reform ship sails forward steadily, the ‘Decision’ proposes that further comprehensive deepening of reform must implement the “six principles”: adhere to the party’s overall leadership, adhere to the people-centered approach, adhere to the principle of maintaining the integrity and promoting innovation, adhere to system building as the main line, adhere to the comprehensive rule of law, and adhere to a systematic approach.”

Most of the “Decision” – 6 parts in a total of 13 – is about economic reform. Will China pull it off? Of course it will.

Just look at the precedents. In 1979 the Little Helmsman Deng Xiaoping started to transform a nation of farmers and peasants into a well-oiled machine of efficient industrial workers. Along the way, GDP per capita was multiplied by no less than 30 times.

Now the ramifications of Made in China 2025 are turning a nation of factory workers into a nation of engineers. Of 10,5 million university graduates a year, a third are engineers.

The emphasis on AI has led, among other examples, to the automobile industry being able to produce a $9,000 EV in complete automation and make a profit. China is already a global leader in EVs (BYD building plants in Brazil, Thailand, Turkey, Hungary), solar power, drones, telecom infrastructure (Huawei, ZTE), steel, shipbuilding – and soon, also semiconductors (thank you, Trump sanctions).

While the Hegemon spent at least $7 trillion – and counting – on unwinnable Forever Wars, China is spending $1 trillion in an array of Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) projects across the Global South: the emphasis is digital/transportation connectivity corridors. Geoeconomic imperatives intertwined with rising geopolitical influence.

Hegemon hysteria aside, the fact is the Chinese economy will grow by a whopping $1.7 trillion only in 2024. That is more than in all but the last three years – because of the Covid effect.

And Beijing borrowed exactly zero yuan for this growth. The U.S. economy, by comparison, may grow by $300 billion in 2024; but Washington had to borrow $3.3 trillion for that to happen.

Researcher Geoff Roberts has compiled a very useful list of what China is doing right.

And when it comes to the nitty gritty, the numbers are staggering. Here are just a few, apart from GDP growth:

  • Foreign goods trade is up 6.1% to $2.9 trillion year-on-year.
  • The trade surplus is at $85 billion, up 12% compared to 2023.
  • ASEAN trade is up by 10.5% to $80 billion; China is the number one trade partner of individual ASEAN members.
  • China had a record crop, 150 million tons, of cereal grains.
  • The courier sector handled 80 billion parcels, up 23% year-on-year.
  • SMIC is the world’s number two pure-play foundry, after Taiwan’s TSMC.
  • China Telecom paid $265 million for 23% of QuantumCTek, patenter of Micius, the world’s first quantum communications satellite.
  • Commercial aerospace launched 39% of China’s 26 rockets.
  • Invention patents rose 43% to 524,000. China is the first country with 4 million domestic invention patents in force.
  • Baidu’s 1,000 robotaxis in Wuhan will break even in Q4, and will be profitable next year.
  • China has 47% of the world’s top AI talent. It added no less than 2000 AI courses to school and college curricula since 2019.
  • On world-class institutions doubling as research leaders, 7 out of 10 are Chinese, including the top one: the Chinese Academy of Sciences, ahead of Harvard.

Exceptionalist China “experts” believe their own fantasy that the U.S. allied with occupied Japan, Germany and South Korea would be able to match and surpass China’s pull with the Global Majority, because they have more resources and more capital.

Nonsense. Even more nonsense is to believe that the Hegemon’s NATO “partners” – as in vassals – will follow the leader in creating cutting edge technology.

The high-speed train that matters has already left the station. The 21st century is shaping up to be the Asian, Eurasian, Chinese century.

https://strategic-culture.su/news/2024/07/24/china-has-achieved-escape-velocity-it-is-now-unstoppable/

 

SEE ALSO: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i6RY3If2ex8

 

Part 2 of 2] Pan-Asianism is bound to come back. The regional order is still influenced by interference from the other side of the Pacific and with "Global NATO" expanding into North East Asia, attempts at 'divide and conquer' are not abetting, but the trajectory of the continent and its various regions are set toward more cooperation and collaboration. From the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation over ASEAN and the Asian part of BRICS; we are looking at more, not less pan-asian collaboration.

A pivotal question is what will Japan do, the East Asian power house in terms of its economy and cultural influence. While the country can certainly not compete in the very big boys club—Russia, China and the USA will remain unmatched in that category for decades to come—Japan is a heavy weight in the middle-power category. In this talk John Pang and Naoko Kumada discuss the interactions between Japan and South East Asia, and what to expect in the region.

helping china....

Russia to ramp up energy supplies to China – deputy PM
Gas exports via the Power of Siberia pipeline are expected to hit 38 billion cubic meters in 2025, according to Aleksandr Novak

 

Russian gas exports to China could reach 30 billion cubic meters this year via the Power of Siberia mega-pipeline, Deputy Prime Minister Aleksandr Novak has said. 

The pipeline’s operator, Gazprom, supplies natural gas to Russia’s Asian neighbor under a long-term contract it sealed with the China National Petroleum Corporation (CNPC). The Power of Siberia is part of a $400 billion, 30-year agreement between Gazprom and CNPC which was clinched in 2014.

“Pipeline gas supplies are growing … Next year we will reach 38 billion cubic meters. This is a contractual obligation, the maximum volume that we will reach under the contract,” Novak told reporters on Tuesday.

Gazprom has exceeded its contractual obligations on a regular basis throughout the past year, with daily records reported frequently. The Russian company increased gas supplies to China via the Power of Siberia by 50% year-on-year in 2023, to 22.7 bcm exceeding Gazprom’s contractual obligations by 700 million cubic meters.

The company is projecting that gas supplies to Russia’s leading trading partner will grow further thanks to soaring demand.

Moscow and Beijing could soon sign a contract for the construction of the mega-pipeline Power of Siberia 2, which is expected to allow for up to 50 bcm of gas to be delivered annually from Yamal Region in northern Russia to China via Mongolia.

Once all pipelines are fully operational, the volume of Russian gas supplies to China could reach nearly 100 bcm annually.

According to Novak, discussions on the implementation of the Far Eastern route for gas supplies to China are also underway.

The Far Eastern route will deliver supplies of Russian natural gas from the shelf off Sakhalin Island to China starting from 2027. Moscow and Beijing sealed an agreement for additional pipeline gas deliveries via the new route in February 2023.

China has increased imports of Russian gas and oil by 22.5% and 4.8%, respectively, in the first half of this year on annual basis, according to the country’s Vice Premier Ding Xuexiang.

https://www.rt.com/business/601546-russia-china-energy-cooperation/

 

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lavrov's.....

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WeH_NHgusz4

Lavrov's Stunning Press Conference On Multipolarity.

 

After that speech, he gave a press conference at the UN headquarter in which he touched on many important topics, including Russia’s position on peace negotiations with Ukraine and the horrible situation in Gaza. The full press conference is here: https://webtv.un.org/en/asset/k1i/k1i...

But one aspect I found particularly interesting, which is how Russia sees multipolarity arising now naturally and how Moscow is supporting this process. I clipped these parts together so you can get an idea of what to expect from Russia in this multilateral and organic process.

 

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china's future....

 

Peak China? Judge by outcomes not ideology    By Geoff Raby and Michael Lester

 

Distinguishing in part between cyclical and structural economic challenges facing China, (eg, real estate busts vis further urbanisation potential) Geoff Raby, AO, former Australian Ambassador to China, to APEC and WTO, is sceptical of arguments propounding ‘peak china’ economic growth. 

Raby sees considerable potential for the realisation of China’s communist party led vision of scientific and technological transformation to the ‘fourth industrial revolution’. The party’s political leadership has already resulted in significant advances and outcomes towards this goal, notwithstanding ideologically based critiques of the current leadership under Xi Jinping for its authoritarianism and state control.

Raby also discusses concerns about growing moves globally to increased government interventions in trade and investment at the same time as there are emergent signs of a ‘new world order’.

Listen to the full interview here:

https://johnmenadue.com/peak-china-judge-by-outcomes-not-ideology/

 

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YOURDEMOCRACY.NET RECORDS HISTORY AS IT IS — NOT AS THE WESTERN MEDIA WRONGLY REPORTS IT.

terror, terror....

Both the Axis of Resistance and Christian Orthodox Russia need to step up the game. Radically.

 

BY Pepe Escobar 

This is a very simple demonstration. Please allow me to present only two Exhibits, A and B.

Exhibit A

The stunning confirmation came directly from Russian Deputy FM Ryabkov, during a quite revealing interview on Rossiya TV. Ryabkov, extremely competent, is also the leading Russian sherpa for BRICS+, preparing the summit next October in Kazan.

Essentially, Russian intel discovered that Kiev intel was setting up the joint assassination of President Putin and Defense Minister Belousov during the Navy Day parade late last month in St. Petersburg.

Ryabkov was very cautious – as this is a matter of national security, involving several top agencies. When asked directly whether “an action was being prepared at the Main Naval Parade” against Putin, Ryabkov was not explicit: he only acknowledged the presence of “a certain connection with this kind of event” – according to the Russian Foreign Ministry.

Ryabkov called this provocation being prepared by Kiev a “very alarming” episode, which was planned in connection “with our internal events in order to inflict maximum damage and obtain the maximum media effect they need.”

What’s intriguing is how the plot line developed.

Normally we would have Bortnikov (FSB) or Patrushev (special adviser to Putin) picking up the phone and calling the CIA’s Burns to ask for a serious explanation.

In this case it was much more hardcore. Belousov himself called the head of the Pentagon, weapons peddler Lloyd “Raytheon” Austin, and told him in no uncertain terms to tighten the leash on the Kiev goons – or else.

Now imagine how the transcript of the blunt Russian message would read.

As Andrei Martyanov remarked, Belousov must have detailed how Kiev would simply cease to exist – and in due time, “so would D.C.” if the Americans decided to authorize the hit.

Ryabkov also referred to “some other countries” who would have been part of the package. Translation: Brits and Poles.

What this little story tells us is that Moscow finally seems to be getting the picture: there’s no way to deal rationally with terror entities, except to politely tell them in their faces that if certain conditions are fulfilled, they will be incinerated with no mercy.

Exhibit B

This concerns the cosmic dementia permeating the Zionist Project.

Apart from the inestimable Alastair Crooke, who called everyone’s attention to what’s really at stake, only a few people across the collective West have any idea of the “long black cloud” that may be coming down, to quote Dylan.

This goes way beyond the government in Tel Aviv “losing control of the Extreme Right”.

Cue to the key passages of an interview with Moshe “Bogie” Ya’alon, former Chief of Staff of the IDF and also former Defense Minister.

“When you talk about Smotrich and Ben Gvir: They have a Rabbi. His name is Dov Lior. He is the Rabbi of the Jewish Underground, who intended to blow up the Dome of the Rock – and before that the buses in Jerusalem. Why? In order to hurry up the ‘Last War’.”

Translation: the two most extreme members of the Netanyahu cabinet follow the same rabbi who wants to blow up Al-Aqsa mosque to rebuild the Jewish Temple, expel or kill all Palestinians, and prevail in a coming Armageddon.

Ya’alon then delivers the clincher: “This concept rests on Jewish supremacy: Mein Kampf in reverse”. In this case, “a war of Gog and Magog”. Ya’alon adds: “This is what goes into the decision-making process in the Israeli government”.

The lowdown: an escathological, ultra-rabid cult is dictating policy in Tel Aviv, the HQ of a genocidal, settler-colonial construct – complete with a massive vigilante militia, or interlocking militias, of hundreds of thousands of settlers, armed to their teeth, uncontrollable, and ready to do anything, even attacking the military and the Israeli state itself.

There’s absolutely no way to talk or to reason with this fanatic mob. They could only be dealt with in one precise way. And the fact is the Axis of Resistance is not there – yet.

Mein Kampf in reverse meets the Axis of Resistance

Exhibits A and B, taken together, make the case that the Empire’s Forever Wars are metastasizing into a seamless war of terror, from mini-genocides within the larger genocide in Gaza to serial targeted assassinations – from Beirut to Tehran to attacks on civilians from Belgorod to Kursk.

For all the expectations across the Global Majority of having the Axis of Resistance severely humiliate the Talmudic psychos, as it stands we are just witnessing the spectacle of Persians displaying their mastery of Sun Tzu.

Psy ops, strategic ambiguity, waiting game: Iran’s application of Sun Tzu is faultless – and is driving the Talmudic psychos and their Exceptionalist enablers absolutely nuts.

Meanwhile in the Ukrainian front, a new sense of urgency may finally become inevitable. Dmitry Medvedev, more unplugged than ever, has set the tone: from now on, it should be no holds barred:

“From now on, the SMO must assume an openly extraterritorial character. This is no longer just an operation to return our official territories and punish the Nazis. We can and must go to the lands of the still existing Ukraine. To Odessa, to Kharkov, to Dnepropetrovsk, to Nikolaev. To Kiev and further. There should be no restrictions in the sense of some borders of the Ukrainian Reich recognized by someone. And now we can and must talk about this openly, without embarrassment and diplomatic curtseys. The terrorist operation of the Banderites must remove any taboos from this topic. Let everyone, including the English bastards, realize this: we will stop only when we consider it acceptable and beneficial for ourselves.”

So now we’re fast approaching the “show me the money” cliffhanger. Both the Axis of Resistance and Christian Orthodox Russia need to step up the game. Radically. Otherwise the intertwined wars of terror may become ominously unmanageable.

 

https://strategic-culture.su/news/2024/08/10/the-forever-wars-go-full-war-of-terror/

 

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YOURDEMOCRACY.NET RECORDS HISTORY AS IT SHOULD BE — NOT AS THE WESTERN MEDIA WRONGLY REPORTS IT.