Maxim Yusin: Here’s why Polish-Ukrainian relations are turning ugly

 

    The rift between the neighbors is now being felt on an emotional level as old tensions begin to reemerge

Kommersant columnist Maxim Yusin

 

The European Commission has called on Polish security forces to ensure the transit of Ukrainian goods across the EU border. Local authorities are responsible for maintaining law and order, so Warsaw must protect the rights of passengers and the free movement of products, which are key to the supply chains of the EU’s internal market, Brussels has advised. Meanwhile, farmers and truckers who have been blocking Ukrainian lorries since November are now being joined by hunters unhappy with the new Polish government’s environmental policies. The farmers themselves plan to step up their protests, blocking checkpoints on the border with Ukraine as well as transport hubs and access roads to rail and sea ports.

The crisis in Ukrainian-Polish relations may seem completely illogical and paradoxical. After all, it was Warsaw that, after 24 February 2022, positioned itself as Kiev’s most reliable and resolute ally in Europe, demanding the toughest measures against Moscow even when Paris and Berlin hesitated, President Macron suggested continuing the dialogue with his Russian counterpart, and Chancellor Scholz initially hoped to limit himself to supplying the Ukrainian army with 5,000 helmets.

Today, two years later, the roles are reversed. France and Germany are now seen as unconditional supporters of the Ukrainian authorities, avoiding public criticism even when it’s called for. However, the Poles have stopped restraining themselves and instead give free rein to their emotions. They don’t shy away from acting offended and freely express their complaints to Kiev.

In this regard, the statement by the deputy speaker of the Seimas [parliament], Piotr Zgorzelski – who accused the mayor of Lviv, Andrey Sadovyi, of using “[1940s Nazi collaborator, Stepan] Bandera language” and expressed his conviction that such rhetoric should have no place in Ukraine – was indicative.

Such words have not been uttered for two years in the Western camp (unless we take into account the prime ministers of Hungary and Slovakia with their special position). The worship of Bandera, Roman Shukhevich and other such controversial figures has been ignored. Against the backdrop of Kiev’s struggle with the Kremlin, it was seen as an inconvenient nuance, better left unaddressed so as not to disturb such a comfortable black-and-white picture of the world.

Another Ukrainian official, Deputy Minister of Economy and Trade Taras Kachka, also got into trouble with the deputy speaker of the Seimas. Piotr Zgorzelski asked him to tone down his rhetoric and not to insult Polish farmers protesting at border crossings. It should be noted that Zgorzelski represents the Third Force Alliance, which is part of liberal Prime Minister Donald Tusk’s ruling coalition. Kiev had hoped that after the change of power in Poland, the consignment of nationalists from the Law and Justice party to the opposition and the triumph of pro-EU forces, the friction with Warsaw felt last year would be a thing of the past. But, as we can see, nothing of the sort is happening.

While paying lip service to Kiev, the Tusk government is in fact creating colossal problems for the Ukrainian authorities on the border, or rather doing nothing to solve them.

Meanwhile, Kiev complains that the blockade of border crossings is already causing problems with the delivery of not only humanitarian goods but also military supplies. This comes at a time when the situation on the frontlines is already dramatic for the Ukrainian army.

In Ukrainian social networks, Poles are accused of treason and stabbing them in the back. Any news on Telegram channels about the actions of Polish farmers and truckers is accompanied by hundreds of angry and frankly insulting comments, among which the suggestion to “let Russian troops through so they can deal with the pšeks(polish)” is one of the most innocent.

A Ukrainian refugee who has moved to Warsaw told me that in recent months she has encountered increasingly hostile attitudes. Her car, which has Kiev license plates, has been vandalized three times. 

The rift between Poles and Ukrainians has begun to be felt on an emotional level. The former accuse their neighbors of ingratitude, the latter hit back with claims of selfishness, greed and lack of empathy. At the same time, EU leaders have come under increasing fire.

It was they who, gripped by emotion and without calculating the pros and cons, took the decision to abolish customs duties on Ukrainian goods, mainly agricultural products. They did not think about the consequences, and these turned out to be serious, both for farmers (not only in Poland, protests are taking place all over the bloc) and for truck drivers, whose colleagues from Ukraine, in receipt of much lower wages, are ruining their entire business.

In general, the turbulent events on the Ukraine-Poland border make us think about the price of Kiev’s possible EU membership, which the current leaders in Brussels are striving to achieve, at least in words. But with the European Parliament elections coming up in June, it will be interesting to see to what extent the bloc’s voters approve of these ambitions.

https://www.rt.com/news/592985-maxim-yusin-poland-vs-ukraine/

 

SEE ALSO: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P0zLXaO48eY

Prof. John Mearsheimer: US and the Unipolar Moment

 

SEE ALSO: die Wahrheit....

 

READ FROM TOP.

 

FREE JULIAN ASSANGE NOW............

After two grueling years of bloodshed, it's time for peace in UkraineU.S. policy drove a year of pointless, bloody stalemate, leaving Ukraine in dire peril. None of it had to happenBy MEDEA BENJAMIN - NICOLAS J.S. DAVIES

 

As we mark two full years since Russia invaded Ukraine, Ukrainian government forces have reportedly withdrawn from Avdiivka, a town they first captured from pro-Russian forces in the Donetsk region in July 2014. Situated only 10 miles from Donetsk city, Avdiivka gave Ukrainian government forces a base from which their artillery bombarded Donetsk for nearly 10 years. From a prewar population of about 31,000, the town has been depopulated and left in ruins.

The mass slaughter on both sides in this long battle was a measure of the strategic value of the city to both sides, but it is also emblematic of the shocking human cost of this conflict, which has degenerated into a brutal and bloody war of attrition along a nearly static front line. Neither side made significant territorial gains in the entire 2023 year of fighting, with a net gain to Russia of a mere 188 square miles, or 0.1% of Ukraine.

And while it is the Ukrainians and Russians fighting and dying in this war of attrition, with more than half a million casualties, it is the United States, along with some of its Western allies, that has stood in the way of peace talks. This was true of talks between Russia and Ukraine that took place in March 2022, one month after the Russian invasion, and it is true of talks that Russia tried to initiate with the U.S. as recently as January 2024. 

In March 2022, Russian and Ukrainian officials met in Turkey and negotiated a peace agreement that should have ended the war. Under that agreement, Ukraine would become a neutral country between east and west, on the model of Austria or Switzerland, giving up its controversial ambition for NATO membership. Territorial questions over Crimea and the self-declared republics of Donetsk and Luhansk would be resolved peacefully, based on self-determination for the people of those regions.

But then the U.S. and U.K. intervened to persuade Ukrainian President Volodomyr Zelenskyy to abandon the neutrality agreement in favor of a long war aimed at driving Russia out of Ukraine and recovering Crimea and Donbas by force. U.S. and British leaders have never admitted to their own people what they did, nor tried to explain why they did it. 

It has been left to everyone else involved to reveal details of the agreement and the U.S. and U.K.’s roles in torpedoing it: Zelenskyy’s advisers; Ukrainian negotiators; Turkish foreign minister Mevlüt Çavuşoğlu and Turkish diplomats; then-Israeli Prime Minister Naftali Bennett, who was another mediator; and former German Chancellor Gerhard Schröder, who mediated with Russian President Vladimir Putin for Ukraine.

The U.S. sabotage of peace talks should come as no surprise. So much of American foreign policy follows what should by now be an easily recognizable and predictable pattern, in which our leaders systematically lie to us about their decisions and actions in crisis situations. By the time the truth is widely known, it is often too late to reverse the catastrophic effects of those decisions. Thousands of people have paid with their lives, no one is held accountable, and the world’s attention has moved on to the next crisis, the next series of lies and the next bloodbath, which in this case is Gaza.

But the war grinds on in Ukraine, whether we pay attention to it or not. Once the U.S. and U.K. succeeded in killing peace talks and prolonging the war, it fell into an intractable pattern common to many wars, in which Ukraine, the U.S. and the leading members of the NATO military alliance were encouraged, or we might say deluded, by limited successes at different times into continually prolonging and escalating the war and rejecting diplomacy, in spite of ever-mounting, appalling human costs for the people of Ukraine.

U.S. and NATO leaders have repeated ad nauseam that they are arming Ukraine to put it in a stronger position at the “negotiating table,” even as they keep rejecting negotiations. After Ukraine gained ground with its much celebrated offensives in the fall of 2022, Gen. Mark Milley, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, went public with a call to “seize the moment” and get back to the negotiating table from the position of strength that NATO leaders said they were waiting for. French and German military leaders were reportedly even more adamant that that moment would be short-lived if they failed to seize it. 

They were right. President Biden rejected his military advisers’ calls for renewed diplomacy, and Ukraine’s failed 2023 offensive wasted its chance to negotiate from a position of strength, sacrificing many more lives to leave it weaker than before.

On Feb. 13, 2024, Reuters Moscow bureau broke the story that the U.S. had recently rejected a new Russian proposal to reopen peace negotiations. Multiple Russian sources involved in the initiative told Reuters that Russia had proposed direct talks with the U.S. to call a ceasefire along the current front lines of the war. 

After Russia’s March 2022 peace agreement with Ukraine was vetoed by the U.S., this time Russia approached U.S. officials directly before involving Ukraine. There was a meeting of intermediaries in Turkey, and a meeting between Secretary of State Antony Blinken, CIA Director William Burns and national security adviser Jake Sullivan in Washington, but the result was a message from Sullivan that the U.S. was willing to discuss other aspects of U.S.-Russian relations, but not peace in Ukraine.  

And so the war grinds on. Russia is still firing 10,000 artillery shells per day along the front line, while Ukraine can only fire 2,000. In a microcosm of the larger war, some Ukrainian gunners have told reporters they were only allowed to fire three shells per night. As Sam Cranny-Evans of the U.K.'s RUSI military think tank told the Guardian, “What that means is that Ukrainians can’t suppress Russian artillery anymore, and if the Ukrainians can’t fire back, all they can do is try to survive.”

A March 2023 European initiative to produce a million shells for Ukraine in a year fell far short, only producing about 600,000. U.S. monthly shell production in October 2023 was 28,000 shells, with a target of 37,000 per month by April 2024. The U.S. plans to increase production to 100,000 shells per month, but that will take until October 2025.

Meanwhile, Russia is already producing 4.5 million artillery shells per year. After spending less than one-tenth of the Pentagon budget over the past 20 years, how is Russia able to produce five times more artillery shells than the United States and its NATO allies combined? 

RUSI’s Richard Connolly explained to the Guardian that while Western countries privatized weapons production and dismantled “surplus” productive capacity after the end of the Cold War in the interest of corporate profits, “The Russians have been… subsidizing the defense industry, and many would have said wasting money for the event that one day they need to be able to scale it up. So it was economically inefficient until 2022, and then suddenly it looks like a very shrewd bit of planning.”

President Biden has been anxious to send more money to Ukraine — a whopping $61 billion — but disagreements in Congress between bipartisan Ukraine supporters and a Republican faction opposed to U.S. involvement have held up the funds. But even if Ukraine had endless infusions of Western weapons, it faces a more serious problem: Many of the troops it recruited to fight this war in 2022 have been killed, wounded or captured, and its recruitment system has been plagued by corruption and a lack of enthusiasm for the war among most of its people. 

In August 2023, the government fired the heads of military recruitment in all 24 regions of the country after it became widely known that they were systematically soliciting bribes to allow men to avoid recruitment and gain safe passage out of the country. The Open Ukraine Telegram channel reported: “The military registration and enlistment offices have never seen such money before, and the revenues are being evenly distributed vertically to the top.”

The Ukrainian parliament is debating a new conscription law, with an online registration system that includes people living abroad and with penalties for failure to register or enlist. Parliament already voted down a previous bill that members found too draconian, and many fear that forced conscription will lead to more widespread draft resistance, or even bring down the government.

Oleksiy Arestovych, Zelenskyy’s former spokesman, told the Unherd website that the root of Ukraine’s recruitment problem is that only 20% of Ukrainians believe in the anti-Russian Ukrainian nationalism that has controlled Ukrainian governments since the overthrow of the Yanukovych government in 2014. “What about the remaining 80%?” the interviewer asked. 

“I think for most of them, their idea is of a multinational and poly-cultural country,” Arestovych replied. “And when Zelenskyy came into power in 2019, they voted for this idea. He did not articulate it specifically but it was what he meant when he said, ‘I don’t see a difference in the Ukrainian-Russian language conflict, we are all Ukrainians even if we speak different languages.’” 

U.S. war policy in Ukraine is predicated on a gradual escalation from proxy war to full-scale war with Russia, unavoidably overshadowed by the risk of nuclear war.

“And you know,” Arestovych continued, “my great criticism of what has happened in Ukraine over the last years, during the emotional trauma of the war, is this idea of Ukrainian nationalism which has divided Ukraine into different people: the Ukrainian speakers and Russian speakers as a second class of people. It’s the main dangerous idea and a worse danger than Russian military aggression, because nobody from this 80% of people wants to die for a system in which they are people of a second class.”

If Ukrainians are reluctant to fight, imagine how Americans would resist being shipped off to fight in Ukraine. A 2023 U.S. Army War College study of “Lessons from Ukraine” found that a U.S. ground war with Russia — which the U.S. may be preparing to fight — would involve an estimated 3,600 U.S. casualties per day, killing and maiming as many U.S. troops every two weeks as the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq did in 20 years. Echoing Ukraine’s military recruitment crisis, the authors concluded, “Large-scale combat operations troop requirements may well require a reconceptualization of the 1970s and 1980s volunteer force and a move toward partial conscription.”

U.S. war policy in Ukraine is predicated on just such a gradual escalation from proxy war to full-scale war between Russia and the United States, which is unavoidably overshadowed by the risk of nuclear war. This has not changed in two years, and it will not change unless and until our leaders take a radically different approach. That would involve serious diplomacy to end the war on terms on which Russia and Ukraine can agree, as they did on the March 2022 neutrality agreement.

https://www.salon.com/2024/02/25/after-two-grueling-years-of-bloodshed-its-time-for-peace-in-ukraine/

THIS ANALYSIS BY SALON SHOULD HAVE BEEN MADE IN DECEMBER 2021, WHEN PUTIN (RUSSIA) MADE A PROPOSAL FOR PEACE THAT WAS VERY DETAILED IN RUSSIAN/AMERICAN RELATIONS AND POTENTIAL ARMAMENT. THE AMERICANS REJECTED IT BECAUSE OF https://yourdemocracy.net/drupal/node/43171. 

WHAT HAPPENED NEXT IS THAT BORIS JOHNSON VIRTUALLY HELPED RUSSIA REGAIN THE DONBASS, WHILE THE PEACE SETTLEMENT OF MARCH/AVRIL 2022 WAS VERY GENEROUS TO UKRAINE. UNFORTUNATELY (FOR THE DEAD AND THE WEST) JOHNSON UNDER ORDERS FROM THE PENTAGON MACHINE SCUTTLED THIS AGREEMENT. PUTIN THEN HAD NO CHOICE BUT TO INCREASE THE HEADLOCK. UKRAINE IS LOSING BADLY ON THE BATTLEFIELD AND NO EXTRA WEAPONS FROM THE WEST CAN CHANGE THIS, UNLESS ONE GOES NUCLEAR. THEN YOU KNOW WHAT THIS MEANS....

 

 

MAKE A DEAL PRONTO BEFORE THE SHIT HITS THE FAN:

 

 

NO NATO IN "UKRAINE" (WHAT'S LEFT OF IT)

THE DONBASS REPUBLICS ARE NOW BACK IN THE RUSSIAN FOLD — AS THEY USED TO BE PRIOR 1922. THE RUSSIANS WON'T ABANDON THESE AGAIN.

THESE WILL ALSO INCLUDE ODESSA, KHERSON AND KHARKIV.....

CRIMEA IS RUSSIAN — AS IT USED TO BE PRIOR 1954

A MEMORANDUM OF NON-AGGRESSION BETWEEN RUSSIA AND THE USA.

 

EASY.

 

THE WEST KNOWS IT.

 

READ FROM TOP

 

FREE JULIAN ASSANGE NOW....

 

 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=diknOoOFrYg

Ursula Von Der Leyen Declared Best Leader Ever! Stunning Propaganda.  

 

MAKE A DEAL PRONTO BEFORE THE SHIT HITS THE FAN:

 

 

NO NATO IN "UKRAINE" (WHAT'S LEFT OF IT)

THE DONBASS REPUBLICS ARE NOW BACK IN THE RUSSIAN FOLD — AS THEY USED TO BE PRIOR 1922. THE RUSSIANS WON'T ABANDON THESE AGAIN.

THESE WILL ALSO INCLUDE ODESSA, KHERSON AND KHARKIV.....

CRIMEA IS RUSSIAN — AS IT USED TO BE PRIOR 1954

A MEMORANDUM OF NON-AGGRESSION BETWEEN RUSSIA AND THE USA.

 

EASY.

 

THE WEST KNOWS IT.

 

READ FROM TOP

 

FREE JULIAN ASSANGE NOW....