climate change anyone?....

"It's not me who says it, it's the satellites, the observation networks that feed the IPCC, so the IPCC knows perfectly well that the temperature since 2015 has tended to drop, and he says, he writes the opposite".

WE, ME AND THE ORDINARY MAN/WOMAN/TRANS IN THE STREET HAVE NO IDEA AS WHAT THE WHOLE CAPER OF CLIMATE CHANGE IS ABOUT — UNLESS WE INSPECT THE THEORY AND DIVE DEEP INTO THE HISTORY OF WHAT’S WHAT.

THE QUOTE ABOVE IS UNTRUE AND MISLEADING… SAME WITH THE IMAGE: IT IS A MISREPRESENTATION OF A COSMIC CHANGE AT PLANETARY LEVEL. AND CO2 IS INVISIBLE. SMOKE IS USUALLY SEEN AS A COOLANT.

ON THIS SITE WE’VE STUDIED THIS PROBLEM AT THE MOLECULAR LEVEL AND WHAT IS INFLUENCING THE NATURAL CLIMATE CHANGES AND WHAT IS INFLUENCING THE PRESENT GLOBAL WARMING.

CLIMATE CHANGE AND GLOBAL WARMING ARE TWO DIFFERENT DYNAMICS — THOUGH THE ACTORS AGAINST DOING ANYTHING ABOUT GLOBAL WARMING MIX THEM UP TO CONFUSE THE ISSUE.

CLIMATE CHANGE IS A NATURAL PROCESS THAT HAS BEEN STUDIED IN AS MUCH DETAILS AS POSSIBLE THROUGH VARIOUS DISCIPLINES. ICE CORE SAMPLES HAVE GIVEN REASONABLE ACCURATE PICTURE OF THE CHANGES OVER THE LAST FEW MILLION YEARS. GEOLOGICAL STUDIES HAVE PROVIDED A LONGER TIME-FRAME OF THE CHANGES.

AS PEOPLE SAY, CLIMATE CHANGES ALL THE TIME. CLIMATE CHANGES ARE MOSTLY DUE TO WHAT HAS BEEN DESCRIBED AS THE MILANKOVITCH CYCLES — OR THE WOBBLES OF THE AXIS OF PLANET EARTH AND OF THE EXCENTRICITY OF THE ORBIT OF THE PLANET. THIS IN TURN AFFECT CHANGES IN THE ATMOSPHERE COMPOSITION OF GASES.

SO THERE. IN REGARD TO CLIMATE CHANGE, THE PLANET IS COOLING.

IN REGARD TO GLOBAL WARMING, SUDIES SHOW THE PLANET IS WARMING UP.

THERE IS AN OBVIOUS CONFLICT OF DYNAMICS.

WHY IS IT SO?

THE GASEOUS MIX OF THE ATMOSPHERE IS THE KEY TO WARMING AND COOLING, WHETHER NATURALLY CHANGING OR NOT.

SO, WHAT MAKES THE GASEOUS MIX OF THE ATMOSPHERE COOL OR WARM THE PLANET SURFACE?

AT THIS LEVEL, THE TEMPERATURE CHANGES ARE MINUSCULE COMPARED TO THE INTRINSIC HEAT POSSIBLE OF MILLIONS OF DEGREES IN PART OF THE UNIVERSE AND THE GENERAL COSMIC TEMPERATURE WHICH HOVERS AROUND THREE DEGREES KELVIN ABOVE ABSOLUTE ZERO. WE ARE IN A SWEET TEMPERATURE BRACKET SO TO SPEAK

OUR EARTHLY TEMPERATURE COMFORT ZONE IS QUITE SPECIFIC — AND AVERAGES AT ABOUT 15 DEGREES CELSIUS OR 289 degrees Kelvin IN WARM CLIMATIC CONDITIONS AND 283 degrees Kelvin IN ICE AGE CONDITION. THIS IS A SMALL BRACKET OF COMFORT FOR COMPLEX LIFE TO EXIST.

WE KNOW THAT OUR ANCESTORS HAD TO SURVIVE THROUGH BITTER COLD.

SVANTE ARRHENIUS, A SWEDISH SCIENTIST, CALCULATED IN 1897, THE VALUES OF THE ATMOSPHERIC GASEOUS MIX THAT “CHANGED THE CLIMATE” BETWEEN WARM CONDITIONS AND ICE AGES. HIS CONCLUSIONS WERE STARTLING:

— WARMING GAS SUCH AS CO2 DROPPED BY HALF IN QUANTITY DURING ICE AGES.

— THE NATURAL PROPORTION OF CO2 DURING WARM PERIOD WAS AROUND 300 PPM (parts per million)

— THE NATURAL PROPORTION OF CO2 DURING ICE AGES WAS AROUND 180 PPM.

WHAT MAKES THE CHANGES OF CO2 IN THE ATMOSPHERE BECOMES A COMPLEX DYNAMIC RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN ALL THE ELEMENTS OF THE SURFACE OF THE PLANET (SEA, LANDMASSES, LIFE, ICE) AND THE FEEDBACK MECHANISMS BETWEEN THEM INCLUDING THE ALBEDO AND COSMIC HEAT LOSS PROCESSES.

— AS WELL, ARRHENIUS WAS PRETTY STRONG ABOUT HIS STUDY: BY BURNING FOSSIL FUELS, THE NEW INDUSTRIAL ERA WAS RELEASING AN ENORMOUS AMOUNT OF EXTRA CO2 INTO THE ATMOSPHERE THAT WOULD INCREASE THE ATMOSPHERIC HEAT BY 2 DEGREES CELSIUS IN THE IMMEDIATE FUTURE.

— ARRHENIUS ALSO INDICATED THAT THIS EXTRA HEAT WOULD BE BENEFICIAL TO CROPS IN GENERAL, ESPECIALLY IN THE TEMPERATE REGIONS OF THE PLANET.

— THE EXTRA CO2 IS INDUCING GLOBAL WARMING, PIGGYBACKING ON THE NATURAL CHANGES OF CO2 PROPORTIONS.

— THE CALCULATIONS OF THE DYNAMIC PROCESSES OF CHANGE ARE COMPLEX IN ORDER TO SURVEY THE INTERACTIONS BETWEEN ALL THE ELEMENTS INFLUENCING THE CLIMATE AND THE TIMELINE OF THE CHANGES, DUE TO THE EXTRA CO2 (AND OTHER WARMING GASES — METHANE, NOx)

— THERE WILL BE POCKET OF WARMING AND POCKETS OF COOLING DUE TO THE DAILY METEOROLOGICAL CHANGES.

— YET OVERALL, ADDING EXTRA WARMING GASES IN THE ATMOSPHERE IS GOING TO WARM IT UP.

— OUR PROBLEMS ARE HOW FAST AND HOW MUCH?

— THE MELTING OF THE ICES AND THE SLOW WARMING OF THE OCEANS TEND TO HIDE THE RANGE OF CHANGE INDUCED BY THE EXTRA WARMING GASES, BY ABSORBING A LOT OF LATENT HEAT.

— ARE UNNATURAL CLIMATE CHANGE (INDUCED BY GLOBAL WARMING OF THE EXTRA WARMING GASES FROM BURNING FOSSIL FUELS) EFFECTS NOTICEABLE?

THE ANSWER TO THIS IS YES. BUT IS IS TOO LITTLE OR TOO ERRATIC TO BE NOTICED BY THE AVERAGE JOE BLOW LIKE ME AND YOU — EXCEPT THE MEGA-FLOODS AND DROUGHTS OF THE MILLENNIUM TEND TO HAPPEN AT SHORTER INTERVALS, APPROACHING A YEARLY HAPPENING.

THAT THERE ARE LESS PEOPLE DYING FROM SUCH EVENTS SHOULD NOT BE SEEN AS A REDUCTION IN THE INTENSITY AND NUMBER OF SUCH EVENTS, BUT AS OUR PREPAREDNESS AND OUR ABILITY TO PREDICT SUCH CHANGES.

GLOBAL WARMING IS HERE AND THE INDUCTION IS THE EXTRA WARMING GASES THAT WE ARE ADDING IN THE ATMOSPHERE BY BURNING FOSSIL FUELS.

GLOBAL WARMING IS ANTHROPOGENIC.

CAN WE DO SOMETHING ABOUT IT?

HOW FAR CAN WE LT IT GO ON WITHOUT DOING ANYTHING ABOUT IT? THIS IS IN THE LAP OF THE HYPOCRITES WHO BLOW UP METHANE PIPELINES IN THE NORD SEA…. AND ON OUR PERSONAL DETERMINATION TO CONSUME LESS.

I BELIEVE THAT WE’LL HAVE TO WAIT TO THE NEXT MAJOR “TURNING POINT” IN MID 2032, FOR HUMANITY’S LEADERS TO COME TO TERM THAT WE’VE FUCKED UP AND START TO SCRUB IT.

GUS LEONISKY

CARTOONIST SINCE 1951

FREE JULIAN ASSANGE NOW......

By Gus Leonisky at 19 Jun 2023 - 6:00am
Gus Leonisky's blog
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scary....

“Temperatures in the middle Pliocene were on average 2-3 degrees C. (3.6 – 5.8 degrees F.) higher than today. The Arctic was 10 degrees C. hotter than today’s. Seas were roughly 90 feet higher. Some places now wet were desert-like. See this link for what would happen to five cities under this scenario.

NOAA administrator Dr. Rich Spinrad observed, “Every year we see carbon dioxide levels in our atmosphere increase as a direct result of human activity. Every year, we see the impacts of climate change in the heat waves, droughts, flooding, wildfires and storms happening all around us. While we will have to adapt to the climate impacts we cannot avoid, we must expend every effort to slash carbon pollution and safeguard this planet and the life that calls it home.”

Carbon dioxide is a potent greenhouse gas which prevents the heat of the sun’s rays from radiating back out into outer space through the atmosphere at the same rate they used to before the industrial revolution. Keeping more heat on earth means hotter oceans and more powerful hurricanes and cyclones, along with hotter air and more desiccation of soil and forests, leading to more wildfires. Those newly common wildfires in Canada are now blanketing the US Midwest and Northeast with heavy smog.

The only way to stop this march to a fully tropical globe is to stop burning gasoline and diesel in our vehicles, and to stop generating electricity and heating our homes with coal and fossil gas.

The Scripps Institution of Oceanography at the University of California San Diego partnered with NOAA, taking its own measurements at Mauna Loa, and found virtually the same concentrations of CO2 and the same huge leap since last year this time.

Scripps Oceanography geoscientist Ralph Keeling is in charge of the Keeling curve created by his father in the late 1950s.He remarked, “Sadly we’re setting a new record. What we’d like to see is the curve plateauing and even falling because carbon dioxide as high as 420 or 425 parts per million is not good. It shows as much as we’ve done to mitigate and reduce emissions, we still have a long way to go.”

The Scripps site notes that carbon dioxide levels are more than 50% higher than they were in 1750 before the steam engine and the Industrial Revolution. There was then about 280 ppm of CO2 in the atmosphere and it was cold.

Here is the scary part. Human civilisation is only about 5,000 to 6,000 years old, characterised by the emergence of cities and role differentiation such that not everyone had to farm– there was room for blacksmiths and tinsmiths and merchants and astronomers and story-tellers. People learned to read and write, to record discoveries and pass them on to the next generation. Elam in Iran and Sumer in southern Iraq were among the earliest such civilisations.

From that time to this, there were just about 280 ppm of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere. It sometimes fell a little or rose a little but it stayed in that range.

We don’t know if a world of 424 ppm CO2 is compatible with civilisation. Civilisation has never faced such a high average temperature of the earth’s surface, which is a direct result of the amount of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere. Intense hurricanes that flatten electric and telecommunications lines time and again (see: Puerto Rico) could be hard on civilisation. Flooding of our major coastal ports could likewise be rather a peril. What if the New York Public library is inundated?

As Dr. Keeler said, this wasn’t the outcome we expected this year, and it is not the direction in which we want the planet to go.

The last time there was this much CO2 up there was the Pliocene, roughly 3-4 million years ago.

This 90 feet sea level rise is therefore almost certainly baked in and will occur, over the next few hundred years (oceans are huge and cold and take time to warm up). I wouldn’t buy real estate in Miami or lower Manhattan with an idea of passing it on to your grandchildren. Any beachfront property is ephemeral.

The cycles of drought and monsoon flooding were extreme in the west of North America during the Middle Pliocene, and we are already seeing some evidence of this deadly one-two punch in California in the twenty-first century.

And Florida was underwater in the middle Pliocene.

The good thing is that some of the worst consequences of climate change can still be avoided, if we make a major push to get our energy from solar panels and wind turbines and to electrify our transportation.

Republished from Informed Comment June 6, 2023

https://johnmenadue.com/carbon-dioxide-in-our-atmosphere-hits-high-not-seen-for-millions-of-years-threatening-accelerated-global-heating/

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By Gus Leonisky at 19 Jun 2023 - 6:36am
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wind change......

By Kenny Stancil
Common Dreams

The World Bank last week reached a conclusion that environmentalists have been hammering for decades: governments must use the trillions of dollars they spend annually to prop up fossil fuels, industrial agriculture and commercial fisheries on the climate crisis instead.

“People say that there isn’t money for climate but there is — it’s just in the wrong places,” Axel van Trotsenburg, senior managing director of the World Bank, said in a statement. “If we could repurpose the trillions of dollars being spent on wasteful subsidies and put these to better, greener uses, we could together address many of the planet’s most pressing challenges.”

According to the bank’s newly published report, “Detox Development: Repurposing Environmentally Harmful Subsidies,” governments around the world collectively spend at least $7.25 trillion each year — roughly 8 percent of global gross domestic product — to sustain the socially and ecologically damaging fossil fuel industry along with often destructive forms of farming and fishing.

Notably, the world needs to invest trillions of dollars each year in climate change mitigation, adaptation, and compensation, from ramping up clean energy production to strengthening the capacity of communities to withstand and recover from extreme weather. As van Trotsenburg suggested in a blog post, vast sums of public money to do just that are “hiding in plain sight.”

https://consortiumnews.com/2023/06/19/world-bank-seems-to-finally-get-it/

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WAIT A LITTLE BIT BEFORE DANCING IN THE STREETS.......

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By Gus Leonisky at 20 Jun 2023 - 5:16pm
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jimmy's wrong....

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=80mensRS0CE

NASA Study Shows Climate Change Is Actually GREENING The Earth!

JIMMY DORE COMMENTS ON GLOBLA WARMING ARE ERRONEOUS AND MISLEADING...

A NASA study from 2016 revealed a potential upside to the additional carbon dioxide that’s been released into the atmosphere as a result of industrialization and the burning of fossil fuels: increased greenery. The proliferation of atmospheric carbon dioxide has reportedly spurred growth of extra leafy green plant life equivalent to the size of two United States. Jimmy and Americans’ Comedian Kurt Metzger discuss this study and the potential benefits countering the downside to climate change.

JIMMY starts with "you're not going to believe this..."

--------------------

ONE SHOULD NOT BE SURPRISE.... SUCH "GREENING" WAS ACTUALLY PREDICTED BY SVANTE ARRHENIUS IN 1897... YET, GLOBAL WARMING ISN'T GOING TO BE "BENEFICIAL" OVERTIME, EVERYWHERE.... I WISH JIMMY WOULD LEARN ABOUT REALITY ON THIS SUBJECT..... YES, ONE CAN BUY A CONDO ON MIAMI BEACH — POSSIBLY GOING CHEAP AND UNINSURABLE....

SEE THAT THE NATURE GLOBAL WARMING JOURNAL THAT PUBLISHED THE RESEARCH IS NOT SO FLIPPANT ABOUT THE SUBJECT... AND THE NEED TO TACKLE CLIMATE CHANGE IS STRONGER THAN EVER.

WE'RE ON TRACK TO GET OUR ARSE KICKED SOONER THAN WE THINK.....

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