Thursday 2nd of May 2024

at her gladys's intransigence...

intransigence...intransigence...

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Intransigence is experienced by many of us daily. It may even dominate our own emotional repertoire. Now, though, as NSW Premier Gladys Berejiklian announces rising Covid infections and accumulating deaths, this unhelpful trait seems increasingly endangering.

 

Wherever it is displayed, intransigence should not be mistaken for strength of mind or purpose. Nor is it an admirable quality in anyone who wishes to lead effectively. In a public crisis, it’s essential that a leader can question their favoured assumptions and perspective. This is particularly so in the tense struggle between familiar economic priorities and less familiar prioritisation of community and individual health.

Most of what follows here was written in January of this year.  Premier Berejiklian and her Health Minister, Brad Hazzard, had survived the 2020 Ruby Princess debacle (900 Covid cases; 28 deaths) despite a report that “…[NSW] state health officials made ‘inexcusable’, ‘inexplicable’ and ‘serious mistakes’ in the Ruby Princess handling.”

We did not then know that what could arguably be called their “Gold Standard” complacency, richly spiced with self-congratulation, could lead in June 2021 to an unvaccinated, mask-less airport driver being permitted to pick up US air crew from Sydney airport, inadvertently bringing into Sydney the truly frightening Delta strain of Covid19.

The Bondi cluster within days became NSW’s biggest to date.  But despite the evidence of Delta’s reach, on 30 June Berejiklian stated, “…the health advice has been on the money…”  Bathed in that confidence, the “go hard, go fast” measures that Victoria, in particular, learned the most painful way, were largely ignored by the NSW Premier.

 Berejiklian is, above everything, a Liberal. Individual “freedoms” rather than the common good; support for business at almost any cost; “development” trumping environment; hard work overcoming structural disadvantage: these are the shibboleths she lives by. Without Covid, and with increasing cynicism about governments’ behaviour, she might have survived… But now?  As the remarks below from eight months ago attempt to show, those Liberal/libertarian traits seem increasingly unsound. In some cases, along with the intransigence that drives them, they will be fatal.

Where intransigence comes from – as well as what it leads to – is a depth of satisfaction with your own perceptions that shuts you off from new or potentially more convincing information. It’s a version of stonewalling, an aggressive/defensive insistence on one’s own perspective that silences the most reasonable of differences. “It’s my way or the highway,” cuts all parties off from a simple mutuality based on empathy, interest and respect.

In 2020 we saw the extreme illogic that intransigence fosters (and festers) in some of our least adroit politicians, especially those Federally stridently supporting narrow vested rather than national, global or plain common-sense interests. This had significant effects on what’s come to be called the “vaccine stroll-out”, with Australia ranked 35/38 OECD nations as at 11 August.

Barely more surprisingly, we saw endangering examples of intransigence in State politicians like Michael O’Brien, Victorian Liberal leader whose behaviour during the painful but resoundingly successful Victorian lockdown was worse than undermining, particularly when it was raucously amplified by the Sky-after-dark crowd and print journalists who themselves favoured propaganda over enquiry.

More worrying because she has far more power, we also saw emerging patterns of strikingly unhelpful intransigence in the Premier of New South Wales. Yet Gladys Berejiklian’s embrace of science and medical evidence has long been subjective and conditional.

The prolonged grief and frustration of those who begged her to shift on pill testing to save the lives of young Australians is on the public record. Despite this, in October 2019, Berejiklian dismissed a coronial investigation urging pill testing at music festivals and the like on the basis that it, “gives people a false sense of security”.

That’s her opinion and she’s entitled to it. Dangers multiply when she extrapolates from her limited expertise and, as the most powerful person in the most populated State in Australia, imposes that on the rest of us.

She’s displayed intransigence, too, in other areas of her private thinking and public performance. Keeping on a dodgy visa-salesman lover after he was already politically compromised seems odd, particularly when she would later claim he was no one important to her. Pulling down a serviceable multi-million-dollar stadium when it can’t be rebuilt without unaffordable cost, turning much of Greater Sydney into Road Toll Central benefitting private capital, defending indefensible vote-buying to the tune of quarter of a billion dollars, destroying not just evidence of that but also, and far worse, precious native habitat even while her State remains socially and environmentally scarred from bushfires, failing repeatedly on addressing the iCare scandals or tackling or reducing homelessness and food and housing insecurity: this all shows an adherence to ideology, rather than a careful reading of public needs or responses.

Is such intransigence driven by ideology? Perhaps. And perhaps primarily. But it is also a character weakness. Or perhaps a failing of emotional literacy.

Observing Berejiklian’s body language, it seems she does allow herself a degree of uncertainty that many of her Federal colleagues do not. Bathed in self-righteousness, they evade accountability, even scrutiny, invariably finding someone else to blame. Berejiklian’s behaviour is less aggressively defensive, and that’s relieving.

However, when it came to her January 2021 handling of what was then NSW’s largest Covid-19 outbreak, the consequences of her “stuck-ness” were significant nationally. Her now-familiar cries of working from the “best health advice available”, while ignoring the pleas of Australia’s leading epidemiologists to mandate masks and end all large public events without exception, were worse than frustrating. They were then, and are now, endangering.

A day or so before Berejiklian had “pivoted” on the masks issue, Melbourne specialist and former AMA Vice-President, Dr Stephen Parnis, surely spoke for many Victorians when he wrote on Twitter: “…It beggars belief after all we have learned & endured that NSW is still not going harder in suppressing the current outbreak. You don’t play games with #COVID19Aus.” You don’t either play games with Delta. But that, then, lay in the frightening future.

Political veteran Bruce Hawker commented in January, again on Twitter: “The slow moving @GladysB mob have allowed this virus to spread from quarantine to Avalon to Wollongong to Croydon to Berala to Queensland and Victoria…Masks have been mandated 3 weeks after the outbreak. Too little too late.”

We knew then that when Premier Daniel Andrews mandated masks in Victoria, their use went up from 43 per cent to almost 97 per cent. Berejiklian, though, spoke repeatedly of not “adding a burden” by mandating masks. Yet the burden was felt nationally as hard borders returned, as family plans fell apart, as front-line health workers were again at greater risk, and as the misery of grave uncertainty was spun out rather than faced honestly and dealt with.

In August, 2021, NSW has a Premier still unwilling to mandate masks effectively – or to give out high quality masks free to citizens of all ages, as advocated by epidemiologist and health economist, Dr Eric Feigl-Ding. She is still equivocating about shutting down Greater Sydney effectively. She’s still failing to offer clarity and support about public health measures that must, must co-exist with a still-faltering supply of vaccines.

Back in January, in the Northern Territory, strong, informed Indigenous leadership, especially from Patricia Turner of the National Aboriginal Community Controlled Health Organisation (NACCHO), saw the nation’s most vulnerable so successfully protected that life could seem confusingly “normal”, other than a credible fear of what might still come from the only State where the Premier remained “unconvinced” for far too long about those most basic protections. They continue to be needed, for the nation’s sake.

What’s also needed from the NSW Premier is the openness of mind it takes to follow a braver direction – even when it means defying her own claim: “I’ve always been very determined to do things my own way and people can expect that from me.”

 

Read more: https://johnmenadue.com/gladys-infection-is-spreading-everywhere/

 

FREE JULIAN ASSANGE NOW !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

sneaky gladys...

Work on the $915 million Parramatta Powerhouse is set to begin by Christmas with the construction contract to be signed within weeks of the historic home Willow Grove being brought down.

Contractor Haus Building Services Pty Ltd moved on site Wednesday to start removal of the Italianate villa, the last surviving example of a riverside mansion in the Parramatta CBD.

The Rozelle-based firm was awarded the $1.9 million contract by “limited tender”, meaning the company was directly approached.

The contract runs from June 21 to October 5, allowing for construction contracts on the new museum to be signed in the immediate aftermath of Willow Grove’s removal, with bids expected from the likes of building giants LendLease, John Holland, Richard Crookes Constructions and Multiplex.

 

Read more:

https://www.smh.com.au/culture/art-and-design/removal-of-historic-willow-grove-starts-to-make-way-for-parramatta-powerhouse-20210812-p58i61.html

 

WITH THE LOCKDOWN, THERE IS NO POSSIBILITY OF PROTEST ABOUT THE DEMOLITION OF THE HISTORICAL HOUSE... SNEAKY, SNEAKY, SNEAKY...

 

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Premier Gladys Berejiklian’s attempt to police NSW out of the pandemic is a desperate and ill-considered kick in the teeth to millions of Sydneysiders who have obeyed the lockdown rules for nearly two months without any reward.

It is made worse by two factors: the Premier’s admission yesterday that many of these harsher restrictions are not based on direct evidence of COVID-19 transmission but a sop to NSW Police, and her ongoing failure to make it clear where transmission is actually occurring and what her government is doing to stop it.

 

With daily cases soaring to a record 466 on Saturday, it is tempting for the government to look for scapegoats. Certainly some people are breaching the public health orders but the crackdown announced on Saturday screams of using a sledgehammer to crack a nut – and not even the right nut.

Under questioning by The Sun-Herald’s Tom Rabe, Ms Berejiklian conceded there was “no strong evidence about outdoor transmission” of COVID-19. Yet for weeks Sydneysiders in the worst-hit local government areas have had outdoor activity limited to a five-kilometre radius, and now people in areas with low or no cases are under the same restriction.

 

There are not any confirmed cases of transmission in singles bubbles but those rules are also tightening. People in the most-troubled LGAs required to register their bubble partner, who must live within five kilometres.

Ms Berejiklian acknowledged these changes were requested by police to assist in their operations and reduce overall mobility. “Not only will the police commissioner receive what he wants in terms of additional powers or additional resources, but more than what he needs and wants,” she said.

That is a worrying declaration from the same Premier who until recently vowed not to impose any restrictions on the people of NSW unless there was solid health advice behind them.

Forcing citizens to concede yet more freedoms in the name of an enforcement effort that has so far utterly failed may yet evaporate the last vestiges of goodwill the state has for Berejiklian.

On Thursday, the NSW Chief Psychiatrist spoke at the daily press conference about the significant and growing mental health impact of this extended lockdown. Outdoor recreation and the singles bubble are low-risk activities and highly beneficial for people’s mental health, and yet two days later they were the focus of the police crackdown.

 

Some changes are appropriate, although too late. A $320 payment for workers who must isolate while they wait for test results finally recognises the financial pressure people are under to attend work even while sick. The permit to leave Greater Sydney is sensible and overdue – especially in light of COVID-19’s regrettable spread into regional NSW.

The Premier says she has lost patience with people who knowingly do the wrong thing and cause “havoc” while “pretending” they don’t understand the public health orders. But how clear have those orders been? They change all the time, have loopholes and are surely confusing for many – especially those whose first language is not English.

 

The government must urgently turn its attention to combating transmission in places where the virus is spreading most: workplaces and households. Otherwise, it leaves itself open to criticism that it is failing to address root-causes while clutching at low-hanging fruit.

It is not easy to strike the right balance between imposing restrictions to reduce the spread of COVID-19 while keeping the economy running, saving jobs and protecting people’s mental health. Nobody envies the government’s task.

 

But rules must have a clear purpose. The people of NSW have been pushed to their limits and are now being told to expect at least two months of extreme hardship to come.

The Premier enjoyed a lot of support for her handling of the pandemic before this outbreak. Even in recent weeks there has been some sympathy given the unique challenges of the Delta strain.

Forcing citizens to concede yet more freedoms in the name of an enforcement effort that has so far utterly failed may yet evaporate the last vestiges of goodwill the state has for Berejiklian.

 

Read more:

https://www.smh.com.au/national/nsw/berejiklian-s-police-state-pivot-is-desperate-unjustified-and-scary-20210813-p58iiv.html

 

 

FREE JULIAN ASSANGE NOW !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

not out of the woods...

 A Western Sydney official has compared the latest anti-Covid measures imposed on his area by the New South Wales (NSW) state government to the times of Nazi Germany. His comment, since removed, caused a rumpus on social media. 

Mayor Steve Christou, of Cumberland City Council, tweeted an official graphic illustrating new lockdown rules on Friday. Having posted the image that warned residents of the mandate that requires them to have a permit to leave the region and to register their personal details to be allowed to visit a “singles buddy” within a five-kilometer (three-mile) reach, he wrote: “Welcome to Nazi Germany.” The comment from the councilor, who describes himself as having “a tendency to speak what I think,” was later deleted.

 

The official has previously expressed his opposition to the tightening of lockdown rules and any mandatory vaccination, describing the situation as “dictatorial madness.” 

His latest provocative tweet was publicly available for long enough to elicit an array of reactions.

 

Welcome to the end of your political career.

— Jim Sim  August 14, 2021Here's a good bit of advice; never use Nazi Germany as comparison for anything. Resign and take a lesson in Ethics.— Andrew Hall August 14, 2021

 

Some dubbed it “disgusting” and “offensive” to Holocaust survivors, while others called on Christou to delete it. In contrast, there were those who apparently supported him.

 

Read more:

https://www.rt.com/news/532025-sydney-mayor-lockdown-nazi-comment/

 

______________________

 

As Covid-19 variants seem to get the upper hand in the race against vaccines, 2 top scientists explain where the world went wrong

 

By Anastasia Safronova, RT editor

 

The initial hopes that vaccine development would be the remedy against Covid-19 are fading, blown up by the spread of the Delta variant. RT asks experts whether this outcome could have been foreseen and avoided. 

It’s been well over a year since the global fight against the coronavirus started, but matters of concern are still mounting. The growing number of infections has led to new lockdowns and mass testing, while plans to make vaccination compulsory have been causing tensions and protests. Is the fight against Covid-19 in trouble?

“I think we rushed in lifting restrictions like mask mandates, as we didn’t have enough people vaccinated,” Professor Agustin Valenzuela Fernandez, an expert in virology, immunology and pharmacology from the Spanish University of La Laguna, tells RT. “First, we thought we need 70% of the population vaccinated, but now, amid the Delta variant, we need 90% to be immunized.

“There was a moment when we were controlling the situation well. But then, the Delta variant emerged, the one that has more serious contagion capacity. In summer, everybody wanted to re-activate the tourist sector, because a lot of countries, like mine, depend on it. That was a step back, as the pandemic is a global thing, and when there is an outbreak in one part of the planet, it will, as a wave, hit other places as well.”

 

‘Something that happened long ago and far away’?

Here, a question emerges: Did humanity learn from the previous experience? It’s a tough one, experts admit.

“This particular pandemic caused devastation for people around the world, and it might appear that we were poorly prepared,” Professor David Dockrell, from the Center for Inflammation Research of the University of Edinburgh, says. He participated in a study analyzing a century’s worth of influenza research amid the ongoing pandemic. Covid-19 is usually compared with the so-called Spanish flu, which, according to estimates, hit one-third of the world population and caused at least 50 million deaths. “I think it’s valid to make comparisons [with the Spanish flu],” Prof. Dockrell told RT. “Both episodes have resulted from the viruses that were relatively new for the populations exposed to them, both have caused major changes to society and major disruption to modern life at the time in which they occurred.”

Meanwhile, Prof. Valenzuela believes society underestimated the danger, seeing it as “a headache that would go away when most of the population is vaccinated.”

“For me, it looks like the Western world forgot the experience of the pandemics of the past, thinking that it had been something that happened long ago and far away,” he says. “Still, there is an outbreak of Ebola in Africa almost every year – but it may look so far away for many. There are special bodies like the WHO [World Health Organization] to handle those outbreaks. Most of the respiratory viruses especially hit the Asian part of the world, so countries like China, Japan or South Korea, learned how to act. But the reports by the WHO that warn about the possibility of an outbreak and tell how to get prepared were massively ignored.”

“China clearly did a very good job of containing infections, their response shows that you can slow spread,” Prof. Dockrell agrees.

 

But the problem I guess is that at the stage where we were trying to restrict further travel, there was so much infection and it spread to so many countries, that it was popping up to lots of different places.

 

“I would say that all countries have had plans for major viral pandemics, particularly focused on a new influenza pandemic, but in this case applied to Covid. And those plans did help in the management,” Prof. Dockrell continues. “Clearly, the difference of hundred years has meant that the scientific response has been much quicker. The scientists could enable sequencing of the strains of virus, tracking them, learning about how they mutate and using this information to try and develop vaccines. We have tools available to us now, particularly the ability to develop vaccines quickly, to adapt those vaccines and to protect large sectors of society, and large populations around the world.”

 

‘Expert in adaptation’

So, is the appearance of the Delta variant the result of an insufficient effort applied to fight the pandemic? Not exactly, experts say.

“It is a normal process of viruses to adapt as they move through large numbers of people, and the very process of having lots of infections which occur, enables the virus to adapt,” Prof. Dockrell insists.

His Spanish colleague explains the mechanism in a more detailed way. “When the virus starts to expand in the body of the infected person, it tries to ‘invent’ new forms of itself to overcome the immunity defense. So, that’s when the mutation appears, and where the new strain emerges.”

 

If the infected person comes to a public place, where there are a lot of people without masks being close to each other, the mutated virus starts to spread.

 

Still, according to Prof. Dockrell, we’ve been lucky enough to be a bit prepared for this Delta strain to appear, as the vaccines we have provide some protection against it.

“They obviously provide a bit less protection than against the original strains they were developed for. But they still provide sufficient and very significant protection, particularly in preventing people from getting a very severe illness and becoming hospitalized.”

However, vaccines are not a reason to relax and feel protected, Prof. Valenzuela warns. “This particular virus is an expert in adaptation and is modifying its genome due to the obstacles that we impose – which are our immune system and the vaccines we get. So, if we don’t have popular immunity, we are making steps back from all the advances we made. Even the achievements of the countries that managed to vaccinate big numbers of people might be put at risk soon, in case there's a new variant that is able to overcome the defensive mechanism of the jabs.”

In this situation, Dockrell opines, re-vaccination may become a normal process. He says that influenza, for example, is very successful at changing its genetic material, so vaccines are being adapted accordingly, and people are being re-immunized every year. The same approach should be applied to Covid-19 and its strains.

For now, several countries with high levels of vaccination are thinking about offering their citizens booster jabs. Germany and France are already planning to offer third doses to those vulnerable, while Spain is admitting such measures may be adopted. “Rich countries are already starting to think about the booster jab, because those vaccinated in January and February are losing their immune response, that’s normal,” Prof. Valenzuela says.

However, here we are back to the problem of globalization. While the aforementioned countries have almost half their populations fully vaccinated, or even more, the levels of immunization in poorer places on the planet are dramatically low. The WHO even called for a moratorium on booster jabs at least until the end of September.

 

"I understand the concern of all governments to protect their people from the Delta variant. But we cannot accept countries that have already used most of the global supply of vaccines using even more of it, while the world’s most vulnerable people remain unprotected"-@DrTedros

— World Health Organization (WHO) August 4, 2021

 

“Any country that manages to successfully vaccinate large sectors of its population will not be completely protected till all countries can do that,” Prof. Dockrell confirms.  “The countries where vaccines are less available will still have the virus circulating. So, the countries where lots of people have been vaccinated may subsequently be at risk of strains of virus coming back, and the vaccines will become less effective.”

“It’s necessary to provide vaccines to the countries that are lacking them, otherwise the virus will be circulating, adapting and generating variants,” Prof. Valenzuela agrees. “We must remember that we live in a globalized world.”

 

‘Hard to understand at the individual level’

However, the current news agenda suggests that the idea of mass vaccination, especially a mandatory one, is not perceived as a blessing for many. It’s enough to look at hundreds of thousands protesting in France over the government’s decision to expand ‘health passes’ for public places and compulsory immunization for medical workers.

 

Both professors think that the problem is a failure to inform the public correctly. “We live in the time when scientific gains are important. But here, there is a contradiction: While we have a lot of information and scientific outlets, and we have access to quality information, a lot of people reject vaccines,” Prof. Valenzuela opines. “I see several reasons here. First, correct information about this pandemic has been lacking since its beginning. Governments couldn’t scientifically explain to people how severe this pandemic is, and what kind of impact it would cause in all levels of the society. Second, there are a lot of discussions like ‘vaccines are too rushed’, ‘vaccines have been developed too fast and still cause a lot of questions to respond’. You know, it is true, but it’s justified by the medical emergency. A lot of studies – regarding adolescents, pregnant women, people with other illnesses like cancer – are being done right now.”

Prof. Dockrell supports his point of view. “As health specialists, as doctors and scientists, we’ve got to communicate, we’ve got to explain why vaccines are important, to try and get people to trust us. Vaccines, I would contend, have made one of the biggest contributions to health globally, particularly in preventing children in low-economic countries from childhood illnesses that otherwise prove fatal. They have been one of the things that have made the biggest contribution to human and animal health.”

 

And we need people to understand the rationale and reason. There is always the risk when you are vaccinating tens and hundreds of millions of people that you will start to see very rare but significant side effects, but those are much less than the consequences of the virus.

 

 

Prof. Valenzuela says that people need to understand the fact that vaccination doesn’t mean that there is no risk of contagion, but there is a major chance not to develop complications and survive the virus. “Everybody was saying – if the one is vaccinated, so they can’t get infected, or if the one survived the virus, there’s no risk of getting it once again. It’s all false, and all this information appeared because we didn’t take into account the experience of past pandemics.”

 

He also insists that the governments should deliver a common approach towards vaccination, otherwise confusion is inevitable. Prof. Dockrell agrees that “the difficulties with vaccination sometimes happen in the sectors of society where there is a breakdown in trust with lawmakers.” People need to buy into the risks and benefits, he thinks, and understand that very-very rare individual bad outcomes of the vaccine are much better than putting large numbers of vulnerable people at risk of getting sick and dying. “At an individual level, that can be hard for people to understand. It’s not just about conveying the science, but it’s also about ensuring that governments and leaders explain the reasons in a mature way.”

 

‘None would solve the problem on its own’

“What I think we have to learn from this particular pandemic, is how we manage the very early phases of the next pandemic, to try and prevent the virus from getting established in large sectors of the world’s population,” Prof. Dockrell says. “This time, we didn’t manage to contain it in the very early stages, we probably didn’t understand how severe it was, and it spread to cause large numbers of infections around the world, and that gave the virus a head start in our response.”

Prof. Valenzuela agrees that Western countries didn’t realize the impact that the globalized nature of the modern world would have on an outbreak like this. He also points out another problem, that the consumer society has been largely ignoring. “While exploiting nature, we come in contact with the ecological niches we never contacted before, with animals and plants that may carry viruses,” he explains. “Viruses are the most frequent species in the world.”

 

We are getting too deep into nature, facing the viruses that are used to become adapted to the body they are getting into – because they want to stay in that body.

 

While progress won’t stop and the interaction with nature will only deepen, the danger is always there, from Covid-19, its variant strains and other viruses that are yet to show themselves.

“There will still be Sars-Cov-2 circulating in humans, there will still be occasional infections and we will have to be very good at picking those up – sequencing people’s viruses very early, identifying initial cases and being very careful to look at all of the contacts of those people, to stop ongoing networks of transmission,” Prof. Dockrell thinks.

Preparation is not only needed on a medical level, but on a social one too. “We need to explore, what kind of risk the virus poses to those most vulnerable, to the poorest districts of the city and to the families with less income, as well as to the public sectors like art, culture, bars and restaurants, tourism,” Prof. Valenzuela insists. “We need to issue new laws and to allocate resources to handle these factors.”

And, of course, we are all in this together. “None of the countries would solve the problem of Covid-19 on its own,” Prof. Valenzuela adds.

 

“We’ve learned that we can produce vaccines, we can use them quickly and we can protect people,” Prof. Dockrell concludes. “We have to make sure that we do it all around the world and that everybody can benefit from those vaccines. We can’t have countries stockpiling vaccines just for their good, we’ve got to think about the whole world population and work together, because we are only protected when everybody is protected.”

 

Read more:

https://www.rt.com/news/531668-covid-19-variants-vaccines/

 

 

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FREE JULIAN ASSANGE NOW !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

to the gallows...

 

NSW people could be slapped with $5000 on-the-spot fines and now have tighter restrictions on their movements as police and military escalate enforcement as part of ‘Operation Stay at Home’.

On the worst day of NSW’s Delta crisis on Saturday, the rest of the state joined the lockdown from 5pm as cases soared to a record 466, with four deaths.

Deputy Premier John Barilaro announced the expanded lockdown on Twitter, hours after the premier’s daily press conference, amid rising concern over case numbers in regional areas and virus fragments found in sewage systems in places with no known cases.

 

“It’s to make sure that we don’t become overwhelmed. A lot of our small regional communities don’t have an ICU unit so we would be transporting people from little town to some of the major centres,” Mr Barilaro told ABC News.

Of particular concern was Dubbo where cases swelled overnight Friday and Saturday morning, with 42 active cases now across the Western NSW Local Health District.

While Greater Sydney has endured lockdown for nearly seven weeks, Mr Barilaro said he hoped the newly-locked down regional communities could be out in a week if they did the right thing.

Earlier before the lockdown announcement, NSW Premier Gladys Berejiklian said Saturday had been the “most concerning day”.

“This is literally a war, and we know it has been a war for some time but never to this extent,” she said at the 11am press conference.

“I know we will get through these difficult times; we always do, and I never give up hope that our citizens will enjoy those freedoms that we had before the outbreak as soon as we can.”

Police have warned they will be out in full force in affected Local Government Areas, with officers able to impose larger fines of $5000 for breaching public health orders.

One-the-spot fines which Commissioner Mick Fuller said were “the biggest I’ve ever seen” have been increased as follows:

 
  • $5,000 fine for breaching home quarantine
  • $5,000 fine for lying on a permit
  • $5,000 fine for lying to a contact tracer
  • $3,000 fine for breaching the two person exercise rule
  • $3,000 fine for breaching rules around going into regional NSW

A further 500 Australian Defence Force troops, in addition to the 300 already deployed, will assist with compliance checks and patrols in NSW while police ramp up operations across the state.

Police Minister David Elliott said the police commissioner requested the ADF reinforcements along with the boost to health orders.

“We’ve had to tighten the current public health orders because of the minority who exploited them,” he said in a statement on Saturday.

 

Read more:

https://thenewdaily.com.au/news/national/2021/08/15/coronavirus-nsw-statewide-lockdown/

 

 

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freefree

spinning covid...

Have we reached peak spin yet?

If 2020 was the year the nation pulled together to overcome a common threat, this time around it has descended into a morass of propaganda, politics and acrimony.

Almost two months into a confusing series of local lockdowns across Sydney, with NSW cases soaring and the infections, having already invaded Victoria, rapidly spreading across the state and the national capital, the state government was finally forced to implement a total lockdown on the weekend.

As a health strategy, the soft lockdown approach has been an abject failure. From a national economic viewpoint, the ongoing apprehension about total lockdown has come at enormous cost.

LIVE UPDATES: Read our blog for the latest news on the COVID-19 pandemic

Had NSW Premier Gladys Berejiklian called a two-week lockdown when the Delta variant first appeared in beachside Bondi — and it worked — the total cost would have been less than $3 billion.

AMP Capital's Shane Oliver last week put the total bill so far at $17 billion. And counting. With the variant now running rampant, the total could end up several times more, if it can be contained at all.

How has it come to this?

Since late last year, Victoria, Queensland and Western Australia routinely have been portrayed by large sections of the media as being run by trigger-happy despots, eager to build walls around their economies, each time COVID-19 posed a threat.

The fiery editorials, however, have conveniently ignored the fact the federal government has imposed one of the world's strictest national lockdowns, essentially cutting Australia off from the rest of the globe.

And while they have hammered home the soaring costs associated with shutting down businesses and imposing social restrictions, they've disregarded the obvious conclusion; that on each occasion, particularly given the absence of vaccines, the rapid response to even the smallest threat with hard lockdowns has proved effective.

What we now are about to learn is that inaction, hubris and complacency carries a far greater cost, and not just financial. Lives and livelihoods will be lost unnecessarily and NSW's health system will be put to the test.

Read more about the spread of COVID-19 in Australia:Youth hit by Delta blues

For months, we've been regaled with tales of NSW's exceptionalism; the state's gold-standard contact tracing and its unrivalled ability to contain outbreaks without resorting to hard lockdowns.

A large dose has, until three weeks ago at least, come from Prime Minister Scott Morrison, backed up by a significant portion of the national media.

Even as late as last Thursday, one national daily proclaimed NSW was leading the way in how best to respond to the latest wave of the pandemic.

The Delta variant was just far too virulent, it argued, and its rapid spread had a silver lining. The nation had woken up to the fact that vaccines were the answer and we had to just live with it.

That's not a view shared by the Prime Minister. With a vaccine program running way behind schedule, he switched to championing lockdowns weeks ago and argued that even if the vaccine program had been on track, it wouldn't have been enough to save NSW.

There is truth to that. For the Delta variant has discovered and attacked our weakest point. Where the earlier incarnations attacked the elderly, this variant is pursuing a much younger cohort, between the ages of 20 and 40.

That's the group that has been put to the back of the queue for vaccinations. It also happens to be our key workforce demographic.

Health or economy – a false choice

Remember the stark choice last year when the first wave of the pandemic hit? You could have either a healthy population or a vibrant economy. But you couldn't have both.

Business leaders and economists across the globe pressured their governments to remain open and simply deal with the pandemic the best way they could.

Except, the entire argument was wrong.

A study by management consultant group McKinsey found countries that imposed the bare minimum of restrictions were hit just as hard by the economic downturn but suffered terribly on a health and social level.

Read more about the vaccine rollout:

McKinsey concluded that lockdowns were not the problem. It was the virus. Health and the economy went hand in hand and countries that contained the virus best were in pole position for a rapid economic recovery.

If ever there was a textbook case, it was Australia. With the virus almost eradicated, confidence rebounded and the pace of the recovery was astonishing. The rest of the world watched on in envy as Australians roamed about freely, frequented restaurants, beaches, sporting events and held large social gatherings.

Now the opposite is occurring, The failure, this time around, to act swiftly and contain the outbreak is weighing heavily on confidence, both business and consumer. National Australia Bank's business survey last week shows confidence has dipped below zero for only the fifth time since the turn of the century.

Hard choices pay off

A week ago, Reserve Bank governor Phillip Lowe downgraded our economic prospects for the short to medium term.

The outbreaks and the lockdowns would weigh on growth and employment prospects, he said. But he was upbeat about the long-term outlook and, going on our swift recovery in the past year, he predicted a repeat of another rapid bounce once we came through this latest episode.

Not everyone was quite so sanguine. Gareth Aird from the Commonwealth Bank argued that while he agreed our medium to longer-term prospects were good, the RBA was overly optimistic about the remainder of this year.

"We are more concerned about the economy over the near term and think that it will take a while to regain economic momentum again once lockdowns are over," he said.

And while pundits debate the prospect of another recession, it's all academic. The numbers for this quarter will be terrible. They're likely to be bad for the December quarter too, even if the virus can be contained.

But if they are better than the September quarter, and technically there is no recession, it still will represent a serious hit to the economy at a time when governments are unwilling to unleash the kind of largesse that was doled out last year.

As of yesterday, local active cases had surged to 6,887 across the nation. Of those, more than 6,500 are in NSW, the nation's biggest state and the powerhouse of the domestic economy.

Western Australia, by contrast, had just three cases, all of them in hotel quarantine.

Premier Mark McGowan routinely is castigated for his isolationist policies and his rigid determination to keep the state COVID free. But when Brazil's iron ore exports plunged after COVID outbreaks crippled its mines following a refusal by Brazil's President Jair Bolsonaro to acknowledge the seriousness of the pandemic, WA's mines picked up the slack.

The end result? Australia shipped record amounts of ore as prices soared, swelling the federal government tax coffers at a crucial time.

In the absence of vaccines, it pays to be decisive.

 

Read more:

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2021-08-16/covid-policy-in-nsw-proving-costly-ian-verrender-analysis/100379032

 

 

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