Sunday 7th of March 2021

warming up...


warming up

If there is one chart that might finally put to rest debate of a pause or "hiatus" in global warming, this chart created by the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration has just supplied it.

For years, climate change sceptics relied on a spike in global temperatures that occurred during the monster 1997-98 El Nino to say the world had stopped warming because later years struggled to set a higher mark even as greenhouse gas emissions continued to rise.

Read more:
Follow us: @smh on Twitter | sydneymorningherald on Facebook

So far my prediction on this site of 2015 (I'll find the link one day) becoming a record year for global warming is correct. And unfortunately more frighteningly so. It would need a massive collapse of world temperatures not to have this year as a record whopper... And some OrstralYan idiots, including our new PM, Talcum Teflum, open new coal mines. idiots! IDIOTS!...
So far October temperatures in Sydney have been nearly 3 degrees C above average after a record January, FEBRUARY, MARCH, APRIL, MAY, JUNE, JULY, SEPTEMBER... 
Say for example we already had quite a few days above 30 C... But overall the minimum have been so far off the average scale that we could have a few days at 15 C without making a dent in the record for October. And it is likely to carry on.
The target is that 2032 (17 years from now) we will be in the ditch. And some idiots want to burn more coal... Idiots ! IDIOTS ! IDIOTS !


warming up too fast... too fast... CO2 is the culprit...

prediction 1959: self-driving cars and fishy walls by 1984...


and :


2025 before 2032


and :


and :


  • Well Liz B, should a mini ice age hit us on the head, we can still quickly dig those naughty mountains of coal, but preferably we'd have the wind turbines spinning faster... But in the mean time, climate change is real and is associated to THE RISE OF CO2 IN THE ATMOSPHERE. Even the few "real scientists" who are denialists know that the relationship is strong. More CO2 in the atmosphere means higher temperature or vice versa. 

    Meanwhile as 2015 in on track to become the warmest year on record and considering that most of the warmest years have been in the 21st century contrary to what you state, even should a "mini-ice-age come along, this would only retard the inevitability of the massive warming we are facing. It would only make things far worse. Please read from top. Especially about the dam between Greenland and Iceland to stop the ice advancing  to the predicted Ice Age in the 1940s. 

    And to Dennis Bird, let me say we might not know PRECISELY what will happen with warming, but we know statistically that flooding, drought and storm activity will be more "intense" and that the sea level will have risen by a minimum of 45 cm by 2100. The top figure from computerised analysis for the sea level rise by the end of this century is around 6 metres. The insurance industry is already on the level.

And by the way, you might notice some "inventions" that make the "Back to the Future" movies a bit pale in the gill.


One of the world's leading experts on permafrost has told BBC News that the recent rate of warming of this frozen layer of earth is "unbelievable".

Prof Vladimir Romanovsky said that he expected permafrost in parts of Alaska would start to thaw by 2070.

Researchers worry that methane frozen within the permafrost will be released, exacerbating climate change

The professor said a rise in permafrost temperatures in the past four years convinced him warming was real.

Permafrost is perennially frozen soil that has been below zero degrees C for at least two years.

read more:

it's a worry...

The chart above is falling bang on my predictions made a few years ago on this site... I am not claiming thick ankles as anyone with knowledge of past aeons and a pocket calculator can do it.

But it's worrying. So far, the increments of global warming has been 0.015 to 0.03 with a few spikes at 0.05 degrees C increases with a general trend of 0.03 degrees C per annum. Roughly this would create an increase of 3 degrees C per century, which of course is one degree above the limit recommended by the IPCC. We've got some work to do. Reduce emissions of CO2 and all that.

What the chart above shows is a sudden increment of 0.15 degree C which, should this trend continues AND it can continue due to the EXTRA amount of CO2 in the atmosphere, would means an increase of 1.5 DEGREES C BY DECADE which is in line with my worst predictions posted circa 2005 on this site. 

As things goes, it could also be that for a couple of years we won't see such a fierce increase but then it could go as high as 0.3 or 0.5 degrees C per annum bringing in a 3 to 5 DEGREES C INCREASE PER DECADE.


Brace yourself.


getting stronger...

The strongest hurricane ever recorded in the Americas is bearing down on Mexico's Pacific coast, threatening a "potentially catastrophic" landfall.

Mexican authorities have begun evacuating residents ahead of the arrival of Hurricane Patricia.

The storm is comparable to Typhoon Haiyan, which killed 6,300 people in the Philippines in 2013, the World Meteorological Organization says.

A state of emergency has been declared in three states in Patricia's path.

The category five hurricane is expected to make landfall on Friday afternoon or evening, with winds of 325km/h (200mph).

Hurricane Patricia: Key questions

The US National Hurricane Center said on its website: "Potentially catastrophic Hurricane Patricia moving northward toward landfall in south-western Mexico."

The centre added that it was the strongest storm it had recorded in the eastern Pacific or the Atlantic.



The EXTRA energy developed by the presence of human added EXTRA CO2 in the atmosphere is increasing the differential of potential storms. The centre of this Hurricane was below 900 millibars (894), yesterday... El Nino has also added much warmer waters in this part of the northern eastern Pacific that, so far, it has created an unusual amount of Hurricanes (there is one lurking as well east of Hawaii but it's moving northward).