Friday 20th of June 2025

no strategy but huff and puff of the moment....

Shortly after China and the United States announced tariff adjustment measures in Geneva, Switzerland, Pulitzer Prize-nominated journalist Aron Solomon argued in a Newsweek article that the US now has an administration that “governs not with strategy, but with impulse”.

 

Richard Cullen

China’s calm response to US’ impulsive tariffs gets noticed

 

The primary architect and advocate of the extraordinarily reckless White House tariff project — widely labeled a “tariff tantrum” by leading Western media outlets — is Peter Navarro, key adviser to US President Donald Trump and professor emeritus of the University of California, according to The New York Times.

Navarro is the man who confected an alternate version of himself, by the name of Ron Vara, subsequently widely cited in his own virulently anti-Chinese academic writings. “Dumber than a sack of bricks” he may be, according to Elon Musk, but Navarro is fanatically energised and alarmingly persuasive within Trump’s inner circle.

Navarro’s distorting, paramount influence underpins and helps explain Solomon’s conclusion that the entire saga that has unfolded since the US administration’s “Liberation Day” announcement on 2 April reveals “a total absence of strategic thinking”.

By early May, however, Navarro’s influence was starkly waning. As the BBC reported, prior to the Geneva meeting, the US had already indicated — without any concession from China — how the US-China tariffs should be significantly cut, signalling that the White House was now urgently looking for a de-escalating deal.

In the end, the US and China swiftly agreed to ease trade tensions, each slashing sharply its escalated, April tariffs and pausing the rest for at least 90 days, resulting in hugely reduced tariff rates of 30% in the US and 10% in China.

“Rarely has an economic policy been repudiated as soundly, and as quickly, as President Trump’s Liberation Day tariffs – and by Mr Trump’s own hand,” said The Wall Street Journal.

So what prompted this dramatic reverse?

First, China’s responses were insistent, yet calm, each day following the US’ 2 April announcement. Unlike other rattled nations, including long-term US allies, China showed zero interest in scrambling to engage in intimidating negotiations.

China’s swift, measured and intense countermeasures comprehensively confirmed that it would not be bullied by the US. Its approach dramatically set it apart from most of the other major Western powers startled by the US’ tariff frenzy. The Global South — and the rest of the world — took note.

Next, mounting internal pressures in the US were sending alarming signals. Apart from the huge initial turmoil in the US stock and bond markets, it became impossible to ignore the raft of very sharp price increases and shortages steadily descending on US consumers because of the tariffs.

The White House’s political marketing about “some pain presaging beautiful gains” was woefully ineffectual from the start, as the grim facts spoke for themselves.

The US’ tariff project was basically shutting down its access to China’s vital, unmatchable value-for-money manufacturing prowess. Trading stock held in the US provided a short-term cushion, but shelves were already emptying, and prices were soaring. For example, fundamental livelihood supplies for US babies, such as cribs and strollers, were gravely threatened.

Moreover, shipping across the Pacific was shrinking, and US dock workers, truck drivers and logistics workers were sitting idle for extended periods and voicing their complaints.

May is also the month when US suppliers begin stocking up for the Christmas holiday – and that restocking, especially from China, was largely on hold. “Trump ruins Christmas” headlines were taking shape.

Rising prices risked the country’s “Make America Great Again” slogan, and triggered the realisation that all these “beautiful tariffs” actually comprise a colossal increase in the sales-tax regime, ultimately designed to sustain massive income-tax cuts for the richest of US citizens.

Geopolitically, the tariff turmoil unleashed by Washington helped boost the standing of incumbent parties in recent elections in Australia, Canada and Singapore. At the same time, major international initial public offerings are migrating from New York to Hong Kong.

Unsurprisingly, the US administration’s approval rating dropped across a range of national polls, as predictions from leading economists of higher inflation and a possible recession in the US intensified. Topping this off was the commentary highlighting how the tariff episode has further compromised the US dollar’s role as the world’s reserve currency.

Meanwhile, it was business as usual in China.

President Xi Jinping made an important tour of Southeast Asia shortly after 2 April. More recently, Beijing hosted a pivotal forum with the 33-member Community of Latin American and Caribbean States. Two-thirds of Latin American countries have now joined the Belt and Road Initiative.

In his keynote speech at the Beijing meeting, Xi reiterated that “there are no winners in tariff wars and trade wars”, and “bullying or hegemonism only leads to self-isolation”.

China’s formal response to the tariff mayhem has been robust and consistent, and devoid of cocky speeches and strange “announcements about coming announcements”, which were evident in the White House’s approach.

“America’s trade policy is being run like a weekend garage sale,” said Solomon, adding that “prices change by the hour, rules are made up on the fly – but unlike a garage sale, no one seems to know who is in charge.”

https://johnmenadue.com/post/2025/05/chinas-calm-response-to-us-impulsive-tariffs-gets-noticed/

 

YOURDEMOCRACY.NET RECORDS HISTORY AS IT SHOULD BE — NOT AS THE WESTERN MEDIA WRONGLY REPORTS IT.

 

         Gus Leonisky

         POLITICAL CARTOONIST SINCE 1951.

lousy strategy....

 

United Kingdom and China: Balancing Trade and Security

Rebecca Chan
London is preparing to conduct an “audit” of its relations with China — a gesture disguised as analysis but, in reality, a ritual: a confession on bended knees before the new masters of the Atlantic order.

 

When a former metropole, so accustomed to dictating the rules of the world under the British flag and the accompaniment of Imperial marches, suddenly finds itself caught between Beijing and Washington, it begins to resemble an actor who has forgotten their lines in a play they themselves directed. The irony is that London attempts to play the role of moralist precisely at a time when its own morality has long been written off by world history... 

Over the past decade, the British elite has danced a doublethink waltz: on one hand — Chinese billions and dreams of a “golden decade,” on the other — the paranoid mantras of the Five Eyes, penned by the CIA’s quill. Throughout this time, London deftly maneuvered, extracting benefits from trade dependence while harmonizing with the Anglo-Saxon propaganda of an “authoritarian threat.” But in 2024, the ice melted. There’s no more hopping between floes — only a choice: to become an outpost of the new Cold War or to try playing the old empire, dreaming of being a mediator in a world where diplomacy has long given way to arms dealers.

This “audit” is not merely a bureaucratic act. It is a symptom of loss. Britain no longer possesses strategic autonomy, nor even the capacity for hypocrisy without grotesqueness. Ally pressure is turning its foreign policy into a soap opera about a bitter divorce between the banks of the City and the colonial instincts of Westminster. Security versus trade, loyalty versus sovereignty, the legacy of empire versus the fragile reality of an island state. And what’s at stake is not just Britain’s positioning — but the entire architecture of power in the Indo-Pacific theater, where the scenery for the next great decolonization is already being built.

 

Historical Context

Once upon a time, Britain dreamed of a “golden decade” in its relations with China. Ah, those were the days: David Cameron arm-in-arm with partners from the Middle Kingdom, George Osborne glowing with hope, like a 19th-century trade lord on the deck of an opium schooner. London — with its gladioli of derivatives and visa-shopping sprees for Chinese elites — flung open its gates to the Eastern capital, dreaming of redrawing old imperial routes into mutually beneficial partnerships. Join the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB)? Why not, if the dollar had wobbled a bit and the yuan whispered sweet promises.

But the gold rush ended — as always, with a hangover. In 2019, when Beijing reminded Hong Kong who really ran the house, the British establishment suddenly realized that “one country — two systems” was not a legal formula, but a diplomatic allusion to a time when China still listened rather than spoke. And London, like a schoolboy caught admiring the “wrong side,” hastily returned to the embrace of its Anglo-Saxon kin. From Huawei to the Uyghur dossier — each excuse became a stepping stone in the escalation of “concern.”

Let us recall: the same Britain now branding “authoritarian threats” is the state that built its banks on Indian salt, its universities on slave-grown sugar, and its parliament on colonial hypocrisy. The irony is that London attempts to play the role of moralist precisely at a time when its own morality has long been written off by world history.

The relationship with China over recent years has gone from business flirtation to strategic repudiation. Today’s “audit” is, in essence, a capitulation to the new rules of a game in which Britain is no longer a player, but a piece on the board. The era of flexible globalization, in which British ambiguity paid dividends, has given way to the logic of geoeconomic blocs. And the old master of ambivalence is now forced to choose: whom to be useful to — Washington or the market?

 

Economic Dependence

Amid the loud political slogans and parliamentary outcries about a “hostile China,” the British economy continues, quietly and almost submissively, to lie within China’s commodity orbit. In 2023, China became the UK’s third most significant trading partner. The statistics lay bare the anatomy of dependence: from cheap components to the rare-earth lifeblood of technological infrastructure. To sever this bond would be akin to slitting one’s own veins and hoping democracy will stop the bleeding.

Pharmaceuticals, electronics, universities, nuclear energy — London long ago pawned these sectors in exchange for an “investment friendship.” Students from the PRC keep the academic sector afloat, Chinese capital bolsters London real estate, and Chinese companies weave themselves into the daily lives of Britons more deeply than any “interference” by intelligence agencies ever could. Yet now, these very threads are being targeted by political exorcism, as if the phantoms of influence can be expelled through parliamentary debate.

The rhetoric of “de-risking,” promoted with the pomp of a sanitary inspection, is in truth dictated not by domestic interests, but by external blackmail. Washington, the elder brother, offers no alternatives — it demands loyalty. Purchases from Chinese suppliers are under scrutiny, investment projects placed in quarantine, and businesses face risks born not of the market, but of politics. Britain is becoming a hostage-economy state — forever teetering between investment logic and Atlantic loyalty requirements.

A paradox? Not at all. This is a rupture within the very identity of British foreign policy. A country that for centuries built its strength on trading with anyone who could pay now mimics ideological purity. But the more London performs sovereignty, the more obvious it becomes: it is operating under someone else’s sanctions, within someone else’s paradigms. The old flexibility is mutating into a new unfreedom. And if anyone were to peek under the dome of Westminster, they would not find strategy — but a trembling fear of geoeconomic exile.

 

Security, Intelligence, and Domestic Politics

In 21st-century Britain, the word “China” has ceased to denote geography and has become a diagonal of fear. An inconvenient partner, a trade giant, a political antagonist — all rolled into one, spiced with a taste of cyber panic and spy mania. What until recently was called mutual benefit is now labeled a “systemic threat.” And under the thunder of committees and reports, the old empire finds a new mission: hunting shadows.

When Parliament declares that Britain “woke up too late,” it sounds almost tragicomic. The very nation that once looted dying civilizations in the name of enlightenment has now, it seems, become the target of “foreign interference.” Chinese “overseas police stations,” surveillance of MPs, TikTok algorithms — all of it turns into a weapon of mass distraction. On the home front, a sense of a besieged fortress is cultivated: MI5 mobilizes, universities are purged of “foreign influence,” a registry of agents is created, and academic freedom is remembered only at memorial services.

But the real scene unfolds not in labs or cyber centers — it plays out in the heart of the political class. Within the Conservative Party, there is a fracture. On one side — the City, for whom China remains a gravitational banking hub. On the other — advocates of a new “sovereignty,” which resembles paranoid isolationism more than a coherent strategy. Labour, as usual, tiptoes the tightrope: criticizing the government’s lack of toughness but in no rush to lose Chinese investors. Politics becomes a puppet theatre in which no one dares to pick up the scissors.

And yet, amid the noise of security talk, the government gains a universal tool. It’s not a shield — it’s a club. Handy for distracting voters from the stagnation of the NHS and the breakdown of transport networks. Convenient for banging on university lecterns. Useful for reminding allies: we’re with you — see, we’re scared too. But it is real people who pay the price for that club: students, scholars, diasporas. Under the guise of fighting “influence,” what is truly unfolding is the undermining of autonomy — external, cultural, intellectual.

In the end, the “China threat” becomes not an external challenge, but an internal technology of governance. London is rebuilding its identity — not on empire, but on phobia. If Britain once exported fear to the colonies, now it imports it from MI5 briefings.

 

The Position of Allies and International Pressure

When Washington says “partnership,” what it really means is subordination. And London, for all its love of theatrical gestures and diplomatic archaisms, understands this perfectly well. Britain is not merely “reviewing” its relationship with China — it is doing so under the supervisory gaze of the White House, like a former colonial administrator now being tested for loyalty to a new empire.

America — whose modernity was built on bombings, sanctions, and “clean networks” — is constructing a technological siege architecture around Beijing. The CHIPS Act, AUKUS, Indo-Pacific Strategies — none of these are strategies; they are walls. And Britain, once proudly aloof, today is not an architect, but a brick in that wall. Its role is to be the voice of the Anglosphere in a geopolitical chorus: to sing about the “China threat,” to take part in drills off the coast of the Philippines, to ask no inconvenient questions.

The Five Eyes partners — the same descendants of the same empires that once carved up the world map — now divide intelligence protocols. Australia, Canada, New Zealand — all in sync, as if wired to the same surveillance tower. Britain is told: “You’re either with us, or under suspicion.” And the threat isn’t diplomatic — it’s technological. Don’t comply? You’ll lose access to defense contracts. Hesitate? No microchips for you. In a world where what’s controlled is not territory but infrastructure, this is the modern-day equivalent of exile.

And what about Europe? After Brexit, Britain’s continental allies have become shadows in the rearview mirror. France and Germany conduct their own audits, discuss de-risking, and try to preserve at least the illusion of strategic pragmatism. Europe reacts slowly, fragmentedly — but within that sluggishness lies a vestige of subjectivity. Britain, having lost its connective tissue with the continent, now stands face-to-face with Empire Number Two — the one whose aircraft carriers dock under banners proclaiming “freedom of navigation.”

London could have been a mediator, a balancer, a new kind of diplomat — but the landscape has changed. Today, Britain is expected not to maintain equilibrium, but to show fealty. Every move that once would’ve been called a “subtle game of interests” is now interpreted as deviation from the line. There is no longer space for nuance. Ambiguity has become betrayal.

As a result, Britain’s foreign policy is increasingly becoming an extension of American logistics. The audit of relations with China is not reflection — it is initiation. A test of how far London is willing to abandon historical ambivalence in favor of a new predictability. In Cold War 2.0, Britain is no longer the puppeteer — it’s the puppet in someone else’s shadow play.

 

The Audit as Political Theatre

David Cameron is back on stage. The very same one who, ten years ago, raved about a “golden era” with Beijing now steps up before the public with a solemn face to declare: the audit begins. Translated from bureaucratese, this means: the performance begins. The audit isn’t about China. It’s about Britain. About how a former metropole plays at statehood, following someone else’s script, while hoping for applause as if it were their own play.

This is not a reassessment of risks — it is a symbolic gesture. The audit exists not to deliver answers, but to simulate them. It doesn’t conclude reflection — it replaces it. A stage set of control, an imitation of strategic autonomy, while all the real decisions have already been made far beyond London. Inside — it’s just a shadow play: a bit of toughness for the voter, a bit of prudence for the investor, a bit of loyalty for the allies.

But with each passing day, these moves become easier to read. In Beijing, they don’t see analysis — they see a ritual of submission. The smile of British politeness no longer conceals the truth: behind it lies fear, loss, disorientation. China’s response won’t take long — not in the form of loud threats, but with cold-blooded calculations: visa filters, capital redirection, surgical strikes on British interests. Meanwhile in Washington, the gaze is different: if London hesitates, it is unsafe. And therefore not admitted into the closed circle of trust.

Thus the audit, conceived as an act of balancing, becomes an act of strategic self-exposure. Britain wants to appear flexible but looks indecisive. It wants to be a player in the architecture of power, but cannot dictate the blueprint. It continues to play the old game of imperial elasticity, failing to notice that the field has already been marked out by others. Where ambiguity once reigned as the art of diplomacy, now a binary code prevails — with us or against us.

And so, at the edge of an era — between a lost Empire and an encroaching technocratic order — Britain is once again left alone. Not in proud solitude, but systemic. Not with a choice, but with a demand to choose. And if it fails to decide either way, it risks being stranded in a historical interjection — caught between Washington and Beijing, between a past where it ruled the world and a future where it no longer gets asked.

 

Rebecca Chan, Independent political analyst focusing on the intersection of Western foreign policy and Asian sovereignty

 

https://journal-neo.su/2025/05/26/united-kingdom-and-china-balancing-trade-and-security/

 

READ FROM TOP.

 

YOURDEMOCRACY.NET RECORDS HISTORY AS IT SHOULD BE — NOT AS THE WESTERN MEDIA WRONGLY REPORTS IT.

 

         Gus Leonisky

         POLITICAL CARTOONIST SINCE 1951.

 

 

a line in the sand....

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zZ4hCRPdwO8

$40 Trillion Market GONE? China Cancels Trade in USD Amid Its Global Power Play Showdown

 

READ FROM TOP.

 

YOURDEMOCRACY.NET RECORDS HISTORY AS IT SHOULD BE — NOT AS THE WESTERN MEDIA WRONGLY REPORTS IT.

 

         Gus Leonisky

         POLITICAL CARTOONIST SINCE 1951.