Tuesday 28th of May 2024

the response won’t be what was planned .......

Israel planned to retaliate against Iran immediately following Tehran’s drone and missile attack on Saturday, but Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu decided to hold off after speaking with US President Joe Biden, Israeli media have reported.

According to the public broadcaster Kan, the war cabinet in West Jerusalem had already approved a range of responses – depending on the scope of the Iranian attack – that would have taken place as early as Sunday. 

“The response won’t be what was planned any longer, diplomatic sensitivities won out,” the outlet quoted a senior source within the government. “There will be a response, but it seems it will be different from what was planned.”

There is still an understanding that Israel will respond, Kan quoted an unnamed Western diplomat as saying, but the delay suggests that it will be weaker than originally envisioned.

Iran launched a barrage of drones, ballistic and cruise missiles against Israel on Saturday. According to Tehran, the strike was lawful retaliation for the Israeli bombing of the Iranian consulate in Damascus, Syria earlier this month, which killed seven high-ranking officers of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) Quds Force.

Israel Defense Forces (IDF) Chief of Staff Lieutenant General Herzi Halevi said Tehran’s actions “will be met with a response.” However, the Israeli outlet Mako reported on Monday evening that West Jerusalem was still working on a plan that would be acceptable to the US, “comply” with the rules set by Washington, and calibrated in such a way as to “not degenerate the region into a war.” 

Most of the Israeli leadership supports an attack on Iran, according to the outlet Ynet, but some notable politicians – such as Shas party leader Aryeh Deri – have spoken against an escalation. 

Iran has been preparing for a possible Israeli attack, most likely against Tehran-linked assets in Syria, while warning West Jerusalem against such a course of action.

“The smallest action against Iran’s interests will definitely be met with a severe, extensive and painful response against all its perpetrators,” Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi said.

https://www.rt.com/news/596150-israel-response-iran-us-call/

 

it's time for being earnest.....

22-......

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu signaled on April 17 that Israel would decide on its own how to respond to Iran's retaliatory attack. For its part, Washington is urging Tel Aviv to show restraint.
Israel's war cabinet met on April 16 to discuss a potential response to Iran's Saturday strike avenging the death of two Iranian generals, but did not come to a conclusion. On Wednesday, Netanyahu told a cabinet meeting that while Israel's allies have provided all kinds of suggestions and advice to Tel Aviv, the Jewish state will pick options on its own.
"I want to make it clear: We will make our own decisions, and the state of Israel will do everything necessary to defend itself," Netanyahu vowed.
'US Factor' in the Way of Israel's Retaliation
Earlier, US President Joe Biden and his European counterparts urged Israel to show restraint and avoid a large-scale regional conflict, promising to slap Iran with new sanctions over the latest missile strike.
"The US factor is very significant," Grigory Lukyanov, a researcher at the Center for Arabic and Islamic Studies at the Institute of Oriental Studies of the Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS), told Sputnik. "The United States is not interested in escalating the conflict. If the incumbent US administration supports Israel's [military response - Sputnik] ahead of the elections, it will certainly literally lose the support of American Muslim voters," he noted.
"Israel's ability to continue the war depends on the United States, because the US provides it with ammunition and weapons. Therefore, of course, the role of the United States is great. (…) The Israeli leadership will use its lobbying power to the fullest to persuade the American establishment to support a response that is sufficiently visible, meaningful, effective, and so on," the expert explained.

https://sputnikglobe.com/20240417/israel-in-catch-22-damned-if-it-retaliates-against-iran-and-damned-if-it-doesnt--1117983997.html

 

 

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נקמה (revenge)....

Israeli Missile Strikes Reported in Iran

by Dave DeCamp April 18, 2024 at 9:14 pm ET Categories News

ABC News is reporting that a US official confirmed Israeli missiles have hit Iran. Other unconfirmed reports say explosions have hit Syria and Iraq, with aircraft activity reported in the area.

This is a breaking news story and will be updated as it develops

https://news.antiwar.com/2024/04/18/israeli-missile-strikes-reported-in-iran/

 

 

 

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past readings....

israhell crap.....

Iran Has DESTROYED all the US and Israel's Calculations in the Middle East | Larry C. Johnson

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zjq5fsvbGuo

 

 

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limit the damage....

 

By As’ad AbuKhalil
Special to Consortium News

 

By all accounts Iran’s retaliatory attack on Israel was unprecedented. It wasn’t U.S. ‘shock and awe’ but it was massive, sophisticated and dazzlingly theatrical. 

It is too early to assess the damage caused by its combination of missiles and drones. Israel, like the U.S., does not reveal, at least not immediately, the extent of any damage it suffers at the hands of enemies. 

It was many years afterward, that we learned, for example, that the Israeli army chief-of-staff had a nervous breakdown in 1967. It was deemed then that the immediate release of such information would have been damaging to morale. 

We still don’t know the location of Iraqi missile strikes inside occupied Palestine in 1991. Israel’s military archives revealed its casualties only 30 years later. 

Commenting on the veracity of Israeli military claims at that time, Human Rights Watch, which is normally biased in favor of Israel, states:

“The official Israeli statistics should be treated with caution. Israel-based journalists told MEW that the numbers provided by the authorities changed during the course of the [1991 Iraq] war for no discernible reason. Running totals issued by different bodies — the I.D.F., the Government Press Office (G.P.O.) and the government-run Press Communications Center (P.C.C.) set up during the war — were often at variance with one another, and still cannot be fully reconciled.”

Western media rarely reminds audiences that what is being reported from Israel is strictly subject to the Israeli military censor. 

Israel’s recent ban on Al Jazeera is an example of the low regard that Israel has for the foreign press, as is a new law allowing the government to ban foreign media deemed harmful to its interest,

It may be years before we find out, not only about casualties of the Iranian attack, but also about the extent of the damage. 

Furthermore, Israel’s figure of 99 percent success in missile interception strains credulity.

The number 99 percent immediately reminds Arabs of the rate at which Baathist leaders win elections in Syria and Iraq, which smacked of a wild exaggeration.

It is to be remembered that U.S. officials, including Gen. H. Norman Schwarzkopf, commander-in-chief of Allied Forces, said two weeks after the Gulf War began in January 1991 that “the Patriot’s success, of course, is known to everyone; it’s 100 percent so far.”

Studies at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (M.I.T.) and Government Accountability Office (G.A.O.) later forced the government to revise the numbers downwards.

Later, M.I.T. Professor Theodore Postol said the success rate was less than 10 percent and probably zero percent. The G.O.A. used the figure of 9 percent.  Furthermore, Israel waited 30 years before admitting that 14 Israelis were killed and tens injured from Iraqi scud missiles in 1991, after having denied casualties at the time.

And even in the Iranian attack on the U.S. base in Iraq in the wake of the assassination of General Qasim Suleimani in 2019?, the Trump administration lied to the public. Trump first denied that any US troops were injured in the attack.  Later, “American officials admitted that eight American service members had been evacuated for injuries.

Over time, the number of injuries increased from 34, then to 50, then to 64. Defense officials finally announced on Feb. 10, 2020 that 109 U.S. troops had been wounded. 

 

Dampening the Impact of the Barrage

Israel not only routinely lies in its military declarations. The release of information regarding the military and intelligence is subject to strict military censorship that Western media rarely remind readers about.  

In this current war of genocide, Israel has been caught lying numerous times.

It is clear the U.S. and Israel want to dampen the impact of the massive barrage of drones and missiles that fell on Israel.  There was jubilation in the Arab world, particularly among the Palestinians and particularly in Gaza.

Israel feared a further damage to its military prowess and reputation.  Zionist writers cited United Arab Emirates (UAE) regime media, and pro-U.S. journalists, to falsely claim that Arabs mocked the Iranian missile attacks.

That is not to suggest missile defense systems of several countries did not work at all. It is too early to discuss figures and estimates amid the fog of war propaganda, especially when the U.S. invested billions in Israeli missile defense. There would be (hopefully) a public outcry if it was revealed that the system didn’t work as promised.

 

Purpose of Missile Strikes

The purpose of the Iranian missile strike was not to inflict the most damage. On the contrary, Iran made an effort to limit the damage in Israel, especially in terms of casualties.

The targets were strictly military and Iran made a point to notify Turkey, which in turn informed other allies, including presumably Israel.  It was clear that the missiles, which could carry over 500kg of explosives, were not all fully armed, or even armed at all.  Iran was showing off its military capabilities, its missile and drone reach.

Even if you believe the claim of a 99 percent interception rate by the anti-missile defense systems, some missiles made it through and landed. There were three layers of defense,  which included those systems manned by the U.S., U.K., and France. The successful hits also happened despite the U.A.E., Saudi Arabia and Jordan providing military and intelligence assistance to Israel.

That was Iran’s point. 

Even if a few fully loaded missiles could penetrate this defense system, enough damage could be inflicted, especially if directed at strategic locations.  After the night of the attack, Israel gradually and grudgingly admitted that at least nine missiles hit two military bases. 

The installations housed fighter jets that were presumably used to attack Iran’s consulate in Damascus on April 1, killing seven high-ranking Iranian military officers. 

Nine missiles means that certainly more than one percent of the missiles and drones landed without being intercepted. Later, Israeli newspaper Maariv cited an interception success rate figure of 84 percent.   

 

Signal of War Risk

Regardless of the number, Iran established that its era of “strategic patience” is over. The concept refers to Iran’s avoidance of responding to Israeli attacks. In doing so, Iran reconfigured the unspoken strategic deterrence understanding with Israel. The reconfiguration has proved in favor of Iran, especially when the Israeli response was so muted.

Iran could have easily avoided responding to the attack on its embassy in Damascus. It could have plausibly claimed that the officers who were killed were in fact in a building adjacent to the embassy and that it did not constitute an attack on the embassy per se. The building was part of the embassy complex. 

Iran used the attack to teach Israel a lesson and to send a signal to the U.S. that it is now willing to risk a war by directly responding to Israeli attacks and provocations —  and from Iranian territory itself. 

By responding from inside Iranian, Tehran was informing the world that it alone will undertake reprisals and retaliation against Israeli attacks on its interests. 

In the past, the U.S. and its allies insisted that Iranian proxies existed merely to defend Iran and to attack its enemies to avenge it.  Days before the attack, Hizbullah leader Hasan Nasrallah gave a speech in which he announced the continuation of resistance attacks on Israel in solidarity with Gaza. 

But he also made it clear retaliatory actions after the Israeli attacks on the Iranian embassy was Iran’s business and not his party’s. The lines were drawn between the different parties bestowing national characteristics on each element of the resistance axis.

Iran wanted Israel to understand that, while it did not put explosive loads in the missiles and drones, it was very capable of doing that. It also could have easily and more quickly targeted Israel from bases in Syria or Lebanon, but it wanted to impress on Israel its ability to strike from its own territory. 

Arab and Iranian media also said Iran did not use its most sophisticated drones or most devastating missiles.

It was an escalation in the regional conflict between Iran and Israel. The new rules would unmistakably restrain and deter Israel. 

 

New Phase of Conflict

One has to place the Iranian retaliation in the context of the long history of the Arab-Israeli conflict.

Arab governments were afraid of attacking Israel directly because they cared more about the survival of their regimes than about defeating Israel.

Media said that the last time Israel was attacked was in 1991, when Saddam Hussein hit it with 34 scud missiles. But that was not on the scale and severity of the Iranian attack. 

Even in the 1973 war – the last war between Arab armies and Israel, not counting a minor confrontation between the Syrian army and Israel in 1982 during the Israeli invasion of Lebanon – Arab regimes feared attacking Israel behind the 1948 lines of its territory.

Iran doesn’t recognize Israeli occupation of any Palestinian territory and it showed that it won’t abide by any artificial division between Palestinian Territories.  

The Iranian attack has marked a new phase in Israeli-Iranian conflict, as well as the Arab-Israeli conflict.  This shift won’t bode well for the Israeli defense doctrine, which relies on sheer intimidation, terrorization, and subjugation of Arab enemies.

As`ad AbuKhalil is a Lebanese-American professor of political science at California State University, Stanislaus. He is the author of the Historical Dictionary of Lebanon (1998), Bin Laden, Islam and America’s New War on Terrorism (2002), The Battle for Saudi Arabia (2004) and ran the popular The Angry Arab blog. He tweets as @asadabukhalil

 

https://consortiumnews.com/2024/04/22/asad-abukhalil-irans-strategic-patience-is-spent/

 

 

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