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lies and hypocrisy are at the heart of the Biden foreign policy......One would think that the United States military staging an unprovoked “plausibly deniable” covert attack on a nation with which it is not at war would be at least considered newsworthy. That the attack did grave damage to a country with which the US is closely allied would seem to make the aggression even more unthinkable. And, perhaps worst of all, that the attack was set up by the nation’s chief executive using a political bypass that avoided congressional oversight and adherence to the war powers act which might be most reprehensible of all as it cuts to the heart of the nation’s constitutional balance of powers.
BY Philip M. Giraldi, Ph.D.
It is clearly an impeachable offense. And “Yes,” for those who are still wondering, Joe Biden and his team of terrorist emulators have done all that and more, and have capped their performance with a series of flat out lies and evasions to make it appear that they had done nothing wrong. And the mainstream America media, in its worst performance since the invasion of Iraq, has served as an echo chamber for everything the White House chooses to leak to it. Given all of that, it was perhaps completely predictable that the government-subservient press and TV news would almost completely ignore the devastating report released by top investigative journalist Seymour Hersh on February 8th. Hersh’s article was entitled “How America Took Out the Nord Stream Pipeline” with a secondary headline reading “The New York Times called it a ‘mystery,’ but the United States executed a covert sea operation that was kept secret—until now.” The article, which Hersh self-published on the internet, describes in considerable detail the preparations and execution by the US Navy Diving and Salvage Center and Central Intelligence Agency’s (CIA) Maritime Branch, coordinated and directed by the White House, to sabotage and destroy Russia’s four Baltic Sea Nord Stream gas pipelines, a war crime and terroristic action that moves the United States much closer to direct armed conflict with Russia. Given its potential political blowback, the Hersh story might very well be the most important expose to appear since fighting began in Ukraine over a year ago, but it is being ignored by the White House, which is denying the report, with a spokesman only commenting that “This is false and complete fiction.” The CIA’s spokesman Tammy Thorp likewise replied to Hersh that “This claim is completely and utterly false.” The US Navy was also asked for comments but did not respond. The media, clearly evident by its inaction, has religiously adhered to that government line, possibly due to some mistaken notion that our national security forces have to be supported when they are going “toe to toe with the Russkies” over Ukraine. On the contrary, it is precisely when the government is behaving recklessly not to mention criminally to bring about an unnecessary war that the press should be in hot pursuit of the story and what it means. That is particularly so as the Ukraine conflict is now escalating and threatening to go nuclear as both sides dig in to incompatible positions. I have known Sy Hersh for a number of years and spent time together with him and other former CIA colleagues helping to confirm details of some of his earlier exposes on US government abuses and outright lies in its somewhat not completely credible role as “guardian” of national security. Hersh is a meticulous investigator who never, in my experience, accepted uncorroborated claims in support of his narratives. I have some understanding of who his sources in the intelligence agencies and Department of Defense might be in this case and it should be accepted that what he has written is completely verifiable and derived from individuals who were actual participants in the activities described. That is not to say that there will not be failures to recall accurately certainly details including aspects of the possible Norwegian involvement, something critics are already pointing to, but the main thrust of “whodunit” and “how” is pretty definitively demonstrated. The report is long and includes a great deal of information on both the planning and the political decision-making that went into the willingness to destroy the pipeline, which I will briefly describe. Sy claims the following: It has not exactly been a secret that many in the United States government have long regarded the Nord Stream pipelines to be a security threat as the supply of relatively cheap natural gas to Germany as a gateway into Europe by Russia would enable Moscow to create a dependency on it for energy which could be manipulated to produce political and strategic advantage. As the crisis over Ukraine deepened in 2021, the Biden White House set up a secret task force that worked on possible scenarios that focused on using military and intelligence resources to physically destroy the pipelines with some measure of plausible denial of the US hand in the process in order to avoid political blowback from America’s European allies or escalation of the conflict. The secrecy was needed to protect Biden from charges of hypocrisy since he had repeatedly pledged that the US would not be directly involved in any armed conflict with Russia over Ukraine. National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan headed the interagency task force, which convened throughout late 2021 and included key players from the Agency’s Maritime Branch and the Navy’s Diving and Salvage Center, both located in Panama City Florida, as well as the State Department, Treasury and the Joint Chiefs of Staff. The operation was originally treated as a covert action that would have required congressional oversight, but that fig leaf was abandoned and it became a “highly classified intelligence operation” when Biden and others in the administration stated publicly and clearly their intentions to stop the pipeline, making what eventually took place an openly declared policy, perhaps intended to send a warning to the Russians. A number of options to destroy the pipelines were discussed. According to Hersh, the participants in the meeting, many of whom were hawks who had cut their teeth under the Obama Administration, clearly understood that they were proposing an “act of war” that was being considered in spite of potential blowback because the president had ordered it. There was plenty of warning of what might be coming. In early February 2022, shortly before the Russian invasion of Ukraine, President Biden publicly pledged during a joint news conference accompanied by a silent and frowning German chancellor Olav Scholz that “If Russia invades … there will no longer be a Nord Stream 2” and, when pressed on how he would carry that out, he responded, “We will — I promise you — we will be able to do it.” Later, after the destruction of the pipeline, Secretary of State Blinken stated that) the sabotage offered a “tremendous opportunity to once and for all remove the dependence on Russian energy… That’s very significant and that offers tremendous strategic opportunity for the years to come.” Not that any more confirmation was needed, but on January 22nd 2023 Under Secretary of State Victoria Nuland gloated while testifying to a US Senate committee that “the administration is very gratified to know that Nord Stream 2 is now … a hunk of metal at the bottom of the sea.” The Biden Administration, in its arrogance has more-or-less been admitting that it was behind the sabotage, which it certainly had the motive and means to carry out, though it was carefully avoiding leaving any actual evidence behind that it had carried out the destruction. As observed above, it has also been deliberately avoiding any congressional involvement, presumably to avoid any discussion of war powers or even due to concerns over possible media leaks. The mechanics of the placing explosives followed by the actual destruction of the pipelines was reportedly as follows: Under cover of a NATO Baltic Sea exercisecalled BALTOPS-22 in June 2022 US Navy and possibly also CIA Special Activities and Norwegian deep sea divers descended 260 feet to a spot off the Danish Island of Bornholm, which was considered to be a location where the pipelines converged in relatively shallow tide-free water and were particularly vulnerable. They attached C-4 explosives both to Nord Stream 1, which was operational, and Nord Stream 2, which was completed but was waiting for German safety and security regulators’ approval to become active. The explosives were designed to be remotely detonatable. The explosives were on a timer that created an escape window for those initiating the detonation and were reported to be activated by a secure signal sent by a sonar buoy that was dropped onto the prepared site by a Norwegian navy helicopter. The Norwegians were essential in that role due to their own military presence close to the targeted part of the Baltic as well as their considerable experience in deep-sea cold-water operations. A Norwegian Navy helicopter in the area would presumably arouse no particular concern, even from the ever-watchful Russians. Under orders to “Go!” from Washington, on September 26, 2022 the Norwegians dropped the sonar buoy and a few hours later the C-4 explosives were detonated, immediately knocking out three of the four pipelines. In the immediate aftermath of the bombing, the US and its allies in the media made every effort to blame the Russians who were repeatedly cited as a likely culprit. Leaks from the White House and from the British government never established a clear explanation of why Moscow would be into self-sabotage of a lucrative business arrangement. A few months later, when it was revealed that Russian authorities had been quietly getting estimates for the cost to repair the Nord Streams, in the neighborhood of $10 billion, the New York Times seemingly cluelessly described the development as “complicating theories about who was behind” the sabotage. Indeed, it was never clear why Russia would seek to destroy its own valuable pipeline which was intended to be a major income source for many years to come, a proposition that former British diplomat Craig Murray describes as “deranged.” But a more telling rationale for the President’s action came from Secretary of State Blinken. Asked at a press conference in September about the consequences of the worsening global energy crisis, most felt in Western Europe, a delusional Blinken described the development in positive terms, enthusing how the destruction would “take away from Vladimir Putin the weaponization of energy as a means of advancing his imperial designs.” The tale told by Sy Hersh is yet another great betrayal by the country’s so-called leadership, an egregious example of the United States government aided by its lap-dog media again lying to its own citizens and the world to cover-up a criminal act that in no way made Americans safer or more prosperous. In the US, the gadfly Tucker Carlson, among prominent journalists, has up to this point dared to present the investigative account developed by Hersh in a five-minute segment of his program. Newsweek has also run a piece examining the issues raised featuring Constitutional lawyer John Yoo. More interesting perhaps, a half hour interview of Hersh by Amy Goodman on PBS television’s Democracy Now! aired last week but then was partially blocked because YouTube considered it to be “inappropriate or offensive.” The full availability of the Seymour Hersh interview video has since that time been restoredwith the Democracy Now! channel providing the following explanatory message: “UPDATE: We have blurred some imagery about 30 seconds into the video in response to a content warning from YouTube that severely limited the reach of this interview. What you see now is an edited version. For the uncensored version of this interview that aired on our show, visit democracynow.org.” Beyond that exposure, there remain, nevertheless, a lot of questions about the destruction of Nord Stream, which was unambiguously an act of war or even terrorism, that continue to be unanswered. Consider, for example, how NATO countries, the US and Norway, de facto attacked fellow NATO country Germany, which was both the intended recipient and an economic partner in the pipelines. Though some British involvement in the operation, also detected by Russian intelligence, was quickly revealed publicly by then-British Prime Minister Elizabeth Truss’s “It’s done” text to Secretary of State Antony Blinken sixty seconds after the detonation. Berlin apparently was not trusted enough to have a voice in the planning and execution of the bombing even though it was gravely damaged by it. Also, Article 5 of the NATO charter says an attack on one nation requires all other alliance members to aid the country that was targeted and it is intriguing to consider whether the rest of NATO ought to go to war with the United States and Norway. Alternatively, can “friends” in the defensive alliance attack each other without consequences or ought the US and Norway now be considered rogue nations? Will the alliance itself be able to stay together if several member states take steps unilaterally that can severely damage the economy of another member? And how are the Germans actually responding to their sinking economy and standards of living, with closing factories and cold houses as a consequence of the US/Norwegian action? Americans, for their part, should also be thinking deeply about the government we have and the lack of restraint with which it behaves. The framers of the Constitution gave only to Congress the power to declare war, perhaps imagining that at some future date the president might stoop to using the military and naval forces of the United States globally to punish and coerce other nations, seize their territory, and kill their people. And it is all justified by something called “exceptionalism” empowering a massive sustained deception that waging continuous war is actually keeping the peace in a “rules based international order.” But the final, and biggest, question remains: How will Russia retaliate to Nord Stream? Will it be one step closer to possible nuclear war initiated by Joe Biden’s reckless move or will the Kremlin persist with its request to have the United Nations Security Council investigate the incident? Moscow will certainly be careful to pick the right time and place, but the last act in this play surely remains to be written. Philip M. Giraldi, Ph.D., is Executive Director of the Council for the National Interest, a 501(c)3 tax deductible educational foundation (Federal ID Number #52-1739023) that seeks a more interests-based U.S. foreign policy in the Middle East. Website is councilforthenationalinterest.org, address is P.O. Box 2157, Purcellville VA 20134 and its email is inform@cnionline.org.
READ MORE: https://www.unz.com/pgiraldi/america-the-feckless-2/
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la grande illusion.....
The Grand Illusions of the leaders of Western Democracies are crashing to defeat in Ukraine.
La Grande Illusion was the 1937 Renoir film that showed the tragic mistakes of the aristocrats of the European empires in World War I. In turn, it referred to a 1910 British tract, The Great Illusion that claimed war was irrational and impossible in civilised Europe because it went against the interests of the British Imperial Liberal Rules Based Order.
The looming defeat of Ukraine, NATO and the USA by Russia is exposing similar tragic mistakes and grand illusions.
But how can I say ‘looming defeat’ in Ukraine? Any reader of the mainstream news in Australia would scoff at this judgement as we approach the anniversary of the invasion. But I have been commenting on this war on The Burning Archive podcast since before the February 2022 conflict.
Russia is clearly winning the war. It is defeating not only Ukraine, but NATO and the USA. It is winning the war militarily. It has overwhelming artillery dominance and is about to take Bakhmut. Russia has withstood the economic war, the ‘sanctions from hell’ that would ‘turn the rouble into rubble’.’ It exposed the American illusion that Russia is a ‘gas station pretending to be a country’. Russia and its strategic partner China are winning diplomatically. Putin has defied the Western illusion that Joe Biden could assemble a WWII-style ‘United Nations of Democracies’ to isolate Russia. The world’s largest democracy, India, firmly and politely said, ‘No, the world is more complicated and multipolar than that.’
Even in the information war, the West has advanced ahead of its supply lines. Despite apparent American dominance and unprecedented restrictions on the ‘open society’ of the West, such as the removal of many Russian media channels, Russia is slowly turning the West’s information war blitzkrieg to its advantage. It simply exposes the truth. Ukraine is no democracy. Ukraine really does have a problem with extreme ethno-nationalist ideologies. Ukraine is press-ganging its citizens to die quickly in Donbass in order to prop up American news coverage of the war. Ukraine really has shelled and killed thousands of civilians since 2014. America, as Seymour Hersh reported and the ABC has yet to report, blew up the Nordstream pipelines. And America did so, according to Hersh’s sources, in a covert operation that bypassed Congress and harmed its own NATO ally. Thanks to the independent media, the truth will survive the blast.
Yet the public perception is Ukraine is winning, and can do no wrong. We must ‘stand with’ Ukraine for ‘as long as it takes’. Recently, the Australian Parliament staged a photo of unity of MP’s standing with the Ukrainian flag. The public perception is fed with constant propaganda, such as the Bear Grills ‘interview’ with Zelensky. When the really bad news rolls in, after the fall of Bakhmut and the grinding offensive of the Russian army, the shock to public opinion may be as consequential for world order as the failures of World War I, or indeed the falls of both Singapore and Kabul.
Perhaps the American and allied leaderships believed their own propaganda that they could win any war when they provoked this war by trying to take Russia’s Queen on Brzezinski’s Grand Chessboard. But at least now some ‘realists’ are speaking up, if covertly in the corridors of Washington. The Rand Corporation paper on ‘Avoiding a Long War’ warns that inflated optimism about success in the war will extend the war, and that the war is not in the interests of the USA. It politely rebukes Secretary of State Blinken as ‘too narrowly focused on one dimension of the war’s trajectory.’
Overconfidence about success in war provokes war, makes for long wars, and springs from the grand illusions of national elites. Geoffrey Blainey made the point in 1973 in Causes of War, and the Rand Corporation report and the ‘realist’ faction in America cite him today.
Of course, many critics (including my modest podcast) have exposed these illusions since February 2022. Jeffrey Sachs. John Mearsheimer. Paul Keating. Tony Kevin. Geoffrey Roberts. Seymour Hersh. Many, many more who are shamefully attacked as ‘Russian propagandists’.
Truth will disperse the illusion. It may take weeks. It may take months or years. But, at some stage, there will be a reckoning. The end of World War I was not good for the deluded European imperial elites. The end of the war in Ukraine will not be good for the imperial American elites. They have spent too long spinning the virtual realities of manipulated news – ‘America makes its own reality’ – to deal with the realities of a changed multipolar world.
They have been exposed as incompetent in waging war with a peer, in fielding diplomacy with independent nations, in framing economies that serve people not bubbles, and, finally, in telling their own people the honest truth. Tragically, the grand illusions of this leadership elite will outlive the conscripted soldiers of Ukraine, that dispensable nation that betrayed itself in search of American glory.
READ MORE:
https://johnmenadue.com/the-wests-grand-illusions-in-ukraine/
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the great delusion.....
BY JOHN VANDIVER
A year ago, many outside observers said it was only a matter of time until Kyiv’s fall, as Russian soldiers invaded Ukraine in a bid to capture its capital.
Instead, Moscow’s full-scale invasion floundered. Two months into the fighting, Kyiv stood and Russian forces were in retreat.
But hidden amid those failures is a threat still facing the United States military and its allies in Europe, where vulnerabilities persist on its eastern borders, experts say.
“The Russians didn’t get close to capturing Kyiv in three days, but they did capture enough territory equal to the size of Estonia,” retired Lt. Gen. Ben Hodges, the former commander of the U.S. Army in Europe, said in a recent phone interview.
Despite the Kremlin’s battlefield failures and the huge toll in lives and materiel in Ukraine, allies should be careful not to underestimate a Russian military that can be expected to undergo a major reset regardless of the outcome in Ukraine, analysts say.
“At the end of the day, NATO forces would crush Russian forces, but that doesn’t mean that in the early days, if we were caught flat-footed, that there would not be enormous casualties and damage,” Hodges said.
Among the concerns are persistent bureaucratic obstacles that hamstring NATO’s ability to mobilize on short notice to head off any potential incursion, Hodges said.
“The ability to move forces rapidly throughout Europe in pre-crisis conditions, we still have not fixed this problem, and that is even more stark now,” Hodges said.
Allies also are being pushed to the brink when it comes to their arms and munitions stockpiles, which have been greatly depleted during the past year as countries pour weaponry into Ukraine.
“I don't think NATO can be very bullish because our stockpiles are too low, especially in Europe,” said John R. Deni, an expert on European security at the U.S. Army War College.
Much is riding on the war, whose outcome has security implications that ripple well beyond the battlefields in eastern Ukraine.
“If the Russians win, it is going to be bad news for the Baltic states, Finland. They’re going to perceive a lot of pressure,” Deni said. “We will have to use this window of time to more adequately prepare our defenses and square away our affairs on the eastern front.”
Should the West waver and allow Moscow to eventually succeed, China could perceive that weakness as a green light to invade Taiwan.
If the U.S. wanted to support the Taiwanese with weaponry, there is a risk that the Pentagon would quickly find its arsenal short on inventory, said retired Air Force Lt. Gen. David Deptula, dean of the Mitchell Institute of Aerospace Power Studies in Washington.
“If there's anything that has been a wake-up call that we need to pay attention to, it is ensuring that there are adequate munition stocks,” Deptula said. “Unfortunately, during peacetime, there's no constituency for munitions, so therefore, programmers when they work the budget, they often times go to the munitions accounts to find the offsets.”
Considering that the U.S. and its allies in the European Union have a combined gross domestic product that dwarfs Russia’s, Moscow shouldn’t be able to compete in materiel production, Hodges said.
“If we're losing in a munitions race, it’s not because there's not enough money. It’s because we haven't done what needs to be done,” Hodges said. “We've been talking about it for over a year now and it’s still not fixed.”
Poor planning
Outside observers say Ukraine deserves some blame as well. In the nearly nine years since Putin invaded and annexed Crimea in 2014, Kyiv never got the country on a wartime footing in domestic arms production, Hodges said.
“Now we are playing catch-up,” he added.
Other analysts highlighted the shortcomings of Europe as a whole.
NATO and the EU need to “get further into the knickers” of their member states, Deni said.
“For example, in the U.S., we have defense industrial laws that allow the president to direct industry to do certain things. Germany doesn’t have that,” he said.
In the year ahead, the war’s direction may hinge on whether the West can sustain or step up weapons deliveries to Ukraine, where spring offensives and counteroffensives will soon pick up.
“We need speed. Speed is crucial,” Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy told global leaders gathered in Munich over the weekend in regard to deliveries.
Still, questions remain over how far the West is prepared to go to get Ukraine the weapons it says it needs.
For example, the U.S. and Germany have so far ruled out sending modern fighter jets, which are near the top of Ukraine’s wish list.
“Without airpower, those tanks are simply going to feed the meat grinder of what's really devolved to a stalemate resembling a World War I-like quagmire,” Deptula said. “And that's not a fight that Ukraine can win.
“We need to get Ukraine air power to replace its declining air force, and we need to get it to them as fast as possible.”
Delivering F-16s or other NATO-standard aircraft would exploit advantages that only airpower can create and allow Ukraine’s ground forces to carry out combined arms attacks more fully, he said.
The road ahead
Analysts expressed mixed views on the likely outcome in Ukraine. Some are skeptical about Kyiv’s ability to reclaim its territory even with allied support.
A study by the Rand Corp. in January argues that it would be in the U.S.’s interest to focus more on a negotiated solution, even if that’s at odds with Kyiv’s goals.
“Territorial control, although immensely important to Ukraine, is not the most important dimension of the war's future for the United States,” stated the Rand study, called “Avoiding a Long War.”
The aim for the U.S. should be “averting possible escalation to a Russia-NATO war or Russian nuclear use,” the report said.
Such concerns take precedence over “facilitating significantly more Ukrainian territorial control,” the report concludes.
During the past year, the question of whether the conflict could escalate to a point at which NATO is drawn into it has loomed over events and factored into weapons delivery decisions.
Early on, the U.S. and other allies balked at sending Ukraine modern battle tanks. But gradually, more advanced systems have been cleared for delivery without bringing alliance troops into combat.
The Kremlin, which has lashed out repeatedly at Western military support, has painted itself as being at war indirectly with NATO.
Periodic nuclear saber-rattling from Putin also has raised fears that Russia could at some point use a tactical nuclear weapon in Ukraine to avoid losing the war.
Nonetheless, weapons convoys continue to flow into Ukraine virtually unchallenged. There has been no apparent attempt by the Russians to sabotage the efforts or target storage centers.
“I have been stunned that the Russians have let the West get away with supplying as much stuff as we have. I think the lesson here is that deterrence works,” Deni said.
Hodges said the U.S. and allies have been unnecessarily concerned with the escalation question and moved too slowly in supplying weapons as a result. In so doing, they have only prolonged the war, he added.
“There's absolutely zero doubt in my mind that Ukraine is going to win, that they are going to regain control of their sovereign territory,” Hodges said.
“I see no bright lights on Russia's horizons. The only hope they have is if we, the West, led by the United States, lose the will to keep doing what’s needed to deliver the capabilities that Ukraine needs.”
READ MORE:
https://www.stripes.com/theaters/europe/2023-02-21/ukraine-lessons-anniversary-9200696.html
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REMIND ME: HOW MANY YEARS WERE US TROOPS IN AFGHANISTAN? ONE YEAR? FIVE YEARS? TWENTY YEARS?
AND PLEASE US ARMY JOKERS/WRITERS/ADMIRALS, DON'T FORGET THAT THE RUSSIANS DEFEATED HITLER IN STALINGRAD.... AND THAT THE KIEV FORAY WAS A DISTRACTION TO GET THE UKRAINIAN TROOPS AWAY FROM THE DONBASS BORDERS.
BECAUSE OF HISTORICAL FACTORS, RUSSIA DID NOT WANT TO BOMB KIEV — WHICH IT COULD HAVE DONE EASILY.
PLEASE NOTE THAT PUTIN HAS NOW PLACED HIS NUKES ON HIGH ALERT WITHOUT LIMITS BECAUSE HE KNOWS THE DEVIOUSNESS OF THE AMERICAN EMPIRE ON THIS FRONT. AS WELL, RUSSIA IS MAKING MANY MORE HYPERSONIC MISSILES THAT THE USA HAS NOT BEEN ABLE TO MAKE ONE PROPERLY (bureaucratic obstacles?).
MAKE A DEAL PLEASE:
NO NATO IN "UKRAINE" (WHAT'S LEFT OF IT)
THE DONBASS REPUBLICS ARE NOW BACK IN THE RUSSIAN FOLD — AS THEY USED TO BE PRIOR 1922. THE RUSSIANS WON'T ABANDON THESE AGAIN.
CRIMEA IS RUSSIAN — AS IT USED TO BE PRIOR 1954
A MEMORANDUM OF NON AGRESSION BETWEEN RUSSIA AND THE USA.
EASY.
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